<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Solving Wealth]]></title><description><![CDATA[Get rich. Stay rich. Live richly.]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com</link><image><url>https://www.solvingwealth.com/img/substack.png</url><title>Solving Wealth</title><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Tue, 12 May 2026 10:17:56 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.solvingwealth.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Solving Wealth]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[solvingwealth@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[solvingwealth@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[JM]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[JM]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[solvingwealth@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[solvingwealth@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[JM]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Storing Cash]]></title><description><![CDATA[#getrich #stayrich What can we do to solve this problem once and for all?]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/storing-cash</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/storing-cash</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 17 Jul 2024 17:59:52 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I often get questions about which savings account pays the most. To my mind, this is a distraction from many other, much more important questions, because anyone who has enough money to be worried about interest shouldn&#8217;t be keeping much cash on hand. However, if a big expense is coming up, it might make sense to have significant amounts of cash on hand. So let&#8217;s do a post about cash storage.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Rich folks have a few extra considerations with regard to storing cash. Middle income households might consider $3500 to be a sizable amount of money. That might represent a month&#8217;s rent, or even most of a vehicle! But for a retired family with $15M, $3500 is probably closer to three days of conservative spending, on average. Generally, even a financially independent household should keep one to three months of cash on hand,<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> and throw in savings for next year&#8217;s tuition, or a high end home renovation, and a wealthy family can easily blow through FDIC limits.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> Given Silicon Valley Bank&#8217;s recent collapse, worrying about whether my bank is going to give me my cash back when I need it is the <em>last</em> thing I have space for in my brain. What can we do to solve this problem once and for all?</p><ol><li><p>Keep a checking account. This works great, as long as I stay under FDIC limits. It&#8217;s hard to live without a checking account, so I&#8217;ll want at least a bit of money here.</p></li><li><p>Play games with FDIC limits. I can put $250K away for myself. Then, I can put $250K away for my spouse. Then, I can put $250K away in a joint account for myself <em>and</em> my spouse. Then, I can open accounts in other categories or at other institutions, and juggle money between these accounts. That&#8217;s a hard no. Who has time for that?! So this eliminates most CDs, checking, and savings accounts.</p></li><li><p>Use an institution that will play games with FDIC limits on my behalf. Some banks will, behind the scenes, go open all those accounts for me. Unfortunately, they often still only pay 0.5% or whatever on the checking accounts, and the savings accounts at these institutions aren&#8217;t much better.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> Look. I don&#8217;t mind paying for service. But I also don&#8217;t enjoy giving money away to giant banks. So I&#8217;ll pass. No thanks!</p></li><li><p>Use a money market fund. OK, now we are starting to relax the <em>absolute</em> guarantees against losses that FDIC insurance provides. But we&#8217;re rich, so we can afford a little risk, right? In 2008, a single money market in the entire country &#8220;broke the buck&#8221; and failed to immediately pay all the money back to the depositors. That&#8217;s not that much risk for only a few months of expenses, considering the vast history of money market funds. On the other hand, a random search for &#8220;money market rates&#8221; turned up &#8220;Top 10&#8221; listicles with accounts paying 4%. 4% at the time of this writing is highway robbery! Again, this isn&#8217;t about the money, this is about not making donations to large financial institutions as a matter of principle.</p></li><li><p>Fortunately, there exists a financial product that receives just as strong a guarantee as FDIC insurance, has no cap on the amount you can store in it, and has never seized up or stopped trading except when all markets are stopped everywhere: ultra short term USA federal Treasury bonds, aka T-Bills.<br><br>T-bills always pay very close to the highest risk free rate available. They have the full faith and credit of the USA and the world&#8217;s most powerful military alliance behind them, and they&#8217;ve never failed to pay the interest they owe. And while they require you to lock up your money for a few weeks, the Fed considers it one of its three core missions to ensure that the Treasury market remains liquid and deep, so you can always sell a T-Bill for very close to what you paid for it, plus some interest. Even better, T-Bill interest is exempt from state income tax!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a><br><br>Unfortunately, there&#8217;s one downside. Annoyingly, T-Bills require constant &#8220;rolling,&#8221; which means that when it matures, aka gets paid back, you have to go out and buy another T-Bill! Some banks will do this for you, but there&#8217;s a secret trick to get this feature in any brokerage account, which brings us to&#8230;</p></li><li><p>Ultra short term Treasury ETFs do all that rolling for you, and while they do take a small fee to do so, at a good issuer that represents a tiny amount, about 1/100th of the interest that T-Bills currently pay as of this writing. Even better, ETFs from issuers that are probably &#8220;too big to fail&#8221; are available in every brokerage account. This is where the Solving Wealth family stores excess cash. I can always get money in my checking account within a couple days notice, and use my credit cards or credit line to cover things in the meantime.<br><br>Looking back at the history of these ETFs, their value did decline once, for one day. In the middle of the Fed&#8217;s recent rate hikes, which were the most aggressive rate hikes in the history of the Fed, the value of the ETF we used declined down to 99 cents on the dollar for a single day before recovering the next day.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-5" href="#footnote-5" target="_self">5</a> That&#8217;s a level of risk that I find acceptable, but you do you.<br><br>If you are feeling lucky, you can move from ultra short term Treasuries to merely short term Treasuries. Probably you&#8217;ll make a little extra interest! But I don&#8217;t keep much cash around, so I&#8217;ve not bothered.</p></li><li><p>There&#8217;s another option that&#8217;s appeared on the scene recently! A new ETF uses a combination of carefully purchased options or futures on the S&amp;P500 to simulate the return of T-bills. Even better, the issuers of this ETF are of the opinion that instead of earning interest, you earn capital gains!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-6" href="#footnote-6" target="_self">6</a> While the S&amp;P500, which represents the 500 largest stocks in the USA,<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-7" href="#footnote-7" target="_self">7</a> is probably the second most liquid and deep market in the world, futures markets are esoteric and have all sorts of weird behaviors, and a futures market is always less liquid than the underlying market. For example, if you can&#8217;t explain what a &#8220;gamma squeeze&#8221; is, then you don&#8217;t understand how these funds work.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-8" href="#footnote-8" target="_self">8</a><br><br>I don&#8217;t keep much cash, so I&#8217;m not interested in all this extra complexity for a slightly better tax treatment. You might disagree!</p></li><li><p>Every option so far has concentrated on numbers in a USA account. However, there are more exotic ways to store value. Actual physical cash is always an option, although that requires worrying about theft, fire, etc. Foreign banks will store dollars, euros, and other currencies. Stablecoins will let you store unlimited amounts of dollars on the Ethereum blockchain, and walk around with them literally in your head by memorizing 24 words, or you can keep them on a USB stick. Personally, I&#8217;m not into making myself a kidnapping target, so that&#8217;s a hardcore &#8220;No&#8221; for me, beyond a few bucks of spending money I keep on my money clip when I remember to hit the ATM. As to physical cash, I just don&#8217;t use much any more! It&#8217;s too inconvenient.</p></li></ol><p>For the rich, cash shouldn&#8217;t represent more than a tiny fraction of your net worth, so getting worked up about 4% vs 5% interest is definitely not worth your valuable time.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-9" href="#footnote-9" target="_self">9</a> Still, people ask, so it&#8217;s good to have answers. When your friends ask you, now you will have great answers for them, at least until the next time the financial landscape changes!</p><p>Some of you may be annoyed that I didn&#8217;t recommend actual symbols that you can look up in your brokerage account for the T-Bill ETFs. However, I&#8217;d like to point out that I&#8217;m a random person on the internet with no professional qualifications, and that recommending investments is a licensed activity, even though getting one of those licenses doesn&#8217;t require you to keep the best interest of your clients at heart.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-10" href="#footnote-10" target="_self">10</a> It would probably be fine for me to list the symbols, but I don&#8217;t like hassles, so I&#8217;m going to play it safe this time. Google for &#8220;ultra short term treasury ETFs&#8221; and you&#8217;ll find some nice options to choose from. Look at the expense ratios, the average duration, the &#8220;<a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/secyield.asp">SEC 30 day yield</a>&#8221;, which is close to the amount of interest it paid over the last 30 days, the price history, which you should compare to what the Fed was doing at the time, and you can pick one, and then never have to think about this ever again.</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>I find it annoying to keep only one month of spending in my checking account, so we tend to let it fall to one month and then refill it to three. I don&#8217;t like to have to think about whether a check will clear or whether I can pay a credit card bill. Keeping a bit more cash on hand frees up my brain for other things.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>The limits are $250K per institution, per account category, per unique titling on the account. I think you see where we&#8217;re going here.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-3" href="#footnote-anchor-3" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">3</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>There are apparently a couple institutions that now offer over 5% and have FDIC limits over $1M. That works great if you already have an account with these institutions and don&#8217;t need to store more than their limit. I still like my plan, since these instutions could change their mind about the interest rates, the limits, or I might need to exceed the limit.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-4" href="#footnote-anchor-4" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">4</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Remember what I wrote last post about not having any professional qualifications? I still don&#8217;t have any! I&#8217;m not a tax professional, and I&#8217;m certainly not yours! You&#8217;re smart, so you&#8217;ll double check this from an actually authoritative source like the IRS website or your CPA, right?</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-5" href="#footnote-anchor-5" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">5</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Remember, bonds lose value when rates rise, and the longer duration the bond, the more value it loses. So 30 year Treasury bills with 29.5 years left on them lost a ton of value on the open market when the Fed hiked, but 4 week T-bills with 2 weeks left on them lost only a tiny amount, which quickly was overshadowed by the higher interest rate the next set of bonds paid out over the next 4 weeks. That&#8217;s why we use an ultra short term fund, which keeps a mix of T-bills who&#8217;s duration averages out to about 5 weeks.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-6" href="#footnote-anchor-6" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">6</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Between last paragraph and this paragraph, I did not receive my CPA certificate. I also didn&#8217;t graduate law school and pass the bar with a specialty in taxes! And while the people behind the fund may be tax professionals, or have consulted tax professionals, remember that tax pros often disagree about cutting edge tax law. https://www.taxnotes.com/featured-analysis/tax-trap-inside-boxx/2024/03/08/7j8x0</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-7" href="#footnote-anchor-7" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">7</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Mostly. Standard and Poors sometimes randomly decides not to add a stock to the index for extended periods of time. Famously, by the time Tesla was added to the index, it was already one of the largest companies in the world! They must have thought it was a meme stock and therefore the valuation was extremely temporary. Well, they were right about the first part, and the high valuation was only somewhat temporary, so it never fell low enough to fall out of the S&amp;P500.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-8" href="#footnote-anchor-8" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">8</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Gamma squeezes got famous during the whole Gamestop saga, where a bunch of ragtag retail investors realized that if they purchased enough Gamestock derivatives of a certain type, that would force their brokers to go purchase the actual stock in order to stay within certain risk limits. Of course, that purchasing caused Gamestock&#8217;s stock to go up, which sent some hedge funds who had been shorting the stock into panic mode, forcing them to purchase the stock to pay back their short position before they lost too much money, which caused the derivatives to pay off hansomely.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-9" href="#footnote-anchor-9" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">9</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Let&#8217;s assume you value your time at $500/hr pre tax, and plan to keep $100K in cash on hand. You&#8217;ll probably earn an extra $1000/year, or about 2 hours of your time. If you plan to go open an entirely new bank account at a new institution every time you can get a better rate, you&#8217;ll generate more statements that you have to file, more 1099-INTs that your accountant will charge you for come tax time, and probably end up doing more than 2 hours of work for that money! If, instead, you get the ETF option, you&#8217;re only missing out on perhaps 0.2% interest, or $200 a year, and the paperwork is included in your existing brokerage account. It&#8217;s a win on time and close enough on money!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-10" href="#footnote-anchor-10" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">10</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>https://money.usnews.com/financial-advisors/articles/inside-the-new-dol-fiduciary-rule-change</p><p>The new rule only applies to retirement accounts, and gives over a year for financial advisors to continue to rip off their clients, assuming it ever takes effect!<br><br>In India, this kind of crazy regulatory regime that creates paperwork and licenses with little to no benefit is famously called &#8220;<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Licence_Raj">The License Raj</a>,&#8221; as a callback to the oppressive rule by the British during their colonization of the subcontinent. What do we call it in the USA?</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Healthcare Without an Employer or Medicare]]></title><description><![CDATA[#stayrich #liverichly The good news is that there are practical steps that a rich person can take to avoid the worst parts of the USA's healthcare system, even if it&#8217;s just up and leaving the country!]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/healthcare-without-an-employer-or</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/healthcare-without-an-employer-or</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 10 Jul 2024 20:37:31 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Before we start, let me remind you that I&#8217;m not a MD. I&#8217;m not a nurse. I&#8217;m not a financial planner, an attorney, or a tax professional. I have no professional qualifications whatsoever! I&#8217;m a random person on the internet, and while I try to read carefully and cite my sources, this blog always has to be the beginning of your research, not the end. I try to tell people when they should include professionals in their lives, but this entire thing is best effort. You&#8217;re way too smart to think that this post should be taken as gospel, right? That goes for everything I write. Now that we&#8217;ve got that out of the way, on with the blog post, OK?</p><p>On a forum I&#8217;m on, a person recently wrote in to ask about how to deal with the problem of healthcare for a person who is choosing to step away from employer coverage prior to 65. Fortunately, there's good news here! Prior to medicare, the vast majority of people who take care of themselves don't need much medical coverage, because 1% of the healthcare/public health $s provides about 99% of the benefit.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> For the vast majority of folks under 65 in good shape, the primary worry is not chronic health conditions, but catastrophic care.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Therefore, first and foremost, once you are no longer eligible for workplace coverage, exercise is your new first job!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> Optimal levels of exercise appear to be in the range of 14-20 hours per week. That said, the improvement from large scale, long term studies for people who exercise that much vs. people who exercise closer to 5-7 hours, while significant, isn&#8217;t as large.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> If you are not an exerciser today, start at a couple 25 minute sessions weekly and increase both intensity and duration until you hit your goal. If you are in a position to voluntarily give up medical coverage through work, you have 5 hours a week, and don't accept any excuse your brain comes up with! Included in that time, you should include at least 2 weight lifting sessions as well that hit every major muscle group, although 4 may closer to optimal.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a> With weight lifting, don't aim for it to be hard. You should feel like with every set that you could have done another 3-5 reps, and with every session that you could have gone another few 10s of minutes. It shouldn't be easy, but it shouldn&#8217;t be difficult either. (For clinical references on this topic, I suggest the <a href="https://www.barbellmedicine.com/articles/articles-training/">Barbell Medicine podcast and website</a>. They do a great job of citing their clinical opinions and staying up on the latest significant research findings.)</p><p>Next, sleep: get 6-9 hours per night, and aim to go to bed early enough such that you don't need an alarm to wake up. Dark, cold, and quiet sleep areas are your watchwords here, as well as avoiding any psychoactive substances (caffeine, alcohol, etc.) late enough in the day to be still active in your system when you sleep. Alcohol will knock you out, but any good smartwatch will tell you that you get crappy sleep if you drink within a few hours of bedtime. (I know. Sometimes ignorance is bliss! I basically don&#8217;t drink at night any more!)</p><p>Next, diet: avoid sugar and booze, limit saturated fat, and aim to eat from the outside of the grocery store. If you avoid sources of concentrated sugar (including fruit juice, fruit concentrate, etc.), eat lean protein sources, and exercise like above, you will probably be doing about the best you can regarding diet. Yes, you <em>may </em>get a small boost to heart health by avoiding red meat vs. white meat<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-5" href="#footnote-5" target="_self">5</a>, but who cares? We're aiming for big optimizations here. Also avoid exposure to smoke, chemicals, etc. You don't have to go crazy here, but you will need to ensure they aren't a regular part of your life, and for the addictive versions of these, that probably means zero indulgence for most people.</p><p>Last, loneliness: humans are tribal monkeys. Find your tribe of people you can relax and trust and let your guard down around. Relax and let your guard down a few times a week! If you have toxic people in your life, life's too short. Cut them out! Move if you have to.</p><p>Now, how to fund the remaining healthcare needs prior to 65? Options are:</p><ol><li><p>Obamacare: get HSA coverage and MAX OUT that HSA every year. Invest the HSA in low cost stock market index funds, and build up a nice nest egg against catastrophic care (car/hiking/bike accident, etc.). This HSA can also pay for your end of life care if you get dementia at a normal age. Our HSA is up to six figures by following this approach. We plan to have enough to fund round the clock care for five years for both me and Mrs. Solving Wealth by RNs, plus daily MD visits. I figure that will run a few million $s, but thanks to the miracle of compound growth over many many decades, I should be fine when I need it, and I can always supplement from my general portfolio. I save my receipts such that if my HSA gets too big, I can start reimbursing myself for long ago expenses. Get a plan that minimizes maximum expenses, although beware, because the out of pocket max is not the out of pocket max (significant edge cases apply) because everything about healthcare in the USA is terrible except the outcomes. Plan to pay out of pocket for everything except covered catastrophic care, and never reimburse yourself from your HSA, until it's grown to that millions of $s stage.</p></li><li><p>Health Sharing ministries: These still have lifetime maxes and also require you to swear "lifestyle" statements, which if later proven false can be used to deny coverage. But they are way cheaper than Obamacare, because they are generally way worse in terms of coverage. Still, they can be better than nothing. I don't like them because I'm building a healthcare plan that minimizes my chance of getting chronic diseases before medicare coverage starts, which means my main worry is a multi-million dollar accident involving months in an ICU, and that lifetime maximum is a killer here. Literally!</p></li><li><p>Medical tourism. Costa Rica is close, cheap, and GREAT care is available, reportedly. Mexico is close, cheap, and GREAT care is available, reportedly. I&#8217;ve heard that in India, a person can wander down to the local chemist (that&#8217;s what they call pharmacist) and get the same medication that you get here for 85% off the sticker price, or even larger discounts, with no prescription, and can come from the same factory that Walgreens gets it from! Reportedly. A little bird told me this. I have no idea if this is legal in the general case, or legal for you. You should consult a lawyer. However, if a lawyer were to advise you on a strategy that you could pursue, then the cost of a ticket and five star lodging in India is cheaper than the out of pocket cost for many medicines! I also have a former colleague who suggested that a luxury trip to South Korea could get you a 5-star executive annual checkup with full blood work, MRIs, etc. for a couple thousand $s.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-6" href="#footnote-6" target="_self">6</a></p></li><li><p>Pay out of pocket. They are rare, but my primary care physician doesn't take insurance, and takes cash or check. He charges by the hour, and passes on costs for vaccinations, blood tests, EKGs, etc. I spend a few hundred $s per person per year with him. Hospitals will often pre-negotiate rates at their &#8220;concierge desk&#8221; or through their normal billing department for prepaying certain surgeries and procedures, and these rates are sometimes lower than insurance copays!</p></li></ol><p>OK, now what about the most common things in the remaining long tail?</p><ol><li><p>For birth/maternal care, check out birth tourism, or just pre-negotiate with the "concierge desk" at your local hospital. If your local hospital doesn't have a concierge desk, find one that does!</p></li><li><p>Hysterectomies are super common, and about 600K are performed every year in the USA alone! Again, check out medical tourism, or work with the concierge desk.</p></li><li><p>For diabetes care, revisit the above about exercise and diet, and find a doctor who can work with you on this topic, which can help lower insulin expenses, etc. You may find that regular trips to somewhere cheap to purchase expendables and flying them back in a cooler is cheaper than buying locally, although reportedly Walmart has some exclusive deals on certain kinds of injections for certain subsets of diabetes cases that are super cheap.</p></li><li><p>For trauma, cross your fingers, hope to God, and hire a medical advocate and an attorney ASAP. If you are well enough to travel, consider medical tourism. Be prepared to play hardball with asset protection strategies, and treat the collection offices at your medical providers like the scum they are, somewhere below used car sales-droids and payday lenders in terms of ethics. Lawyer up HARD.</p><p></p><p>(Remember, your doctors and nurses are just as frustrated by that side of the business as you are, so don't take it out on them. They are as helpless as you are.)</p><p></p><p>In the USA, we are used to fixed prices. Medical bills after a procedure here are always, always, always a suggestion and an opening negotiation, and can often be settled for 10-20 cents on the dollar. In extreme cases, people have been able to settle for under 3%, or get out of paying entirely legally! (This can have an impact on your credit score, but I&#8217;m down for a bad score for 7 years in exchange for a couple hundred $K!) And given the terrible tactics, lies, and greed that runs through our medical system, you should feel rightous about fighting every medical bill from a large faceless provider tooth and nail.</p><p></p><p>Of course, your small practice down the street is <em>entirely</em> another story. When you hit the call center when you try to call about your bill and you get that slimy feeling from the person on the other side of the phone, you&#8217;ll know which kind of provider you are dealing with.</p></li></ol><p>Every country is deeply broken and totally insane several unique ways. The inhabitants look at you funny when you ask them about it, because they can&#8217;t conceive of life any other way!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-7" href="#footnote-7" target="_self">7</a> Folks from the USA know our healthcare system is broken, but if any specific changes are suggested, it&#8217;s likely to ignite a full on tribal war of red vs. blue. So I&#8217;m not going to suggest any changes here.</p><p>The good news is that there are simple practical steps that a rich or upper middle class person can take to avoid the worst parts of the USA&#8217;s healthcare system, even if it&#8217;s just up and leaving the country occasionally!</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>No, this is not the actual ratio, probably. The actual ratio is hard to quantify and wildly controversial, but put it this way. 15 years ago, per capita spending for Costa Rica <em>on their entire economy</em> was lower than USA per capita spending on healthcare, and the Ticos lived longer and healthier lives, on average! (People from Costa Rica are called Ticos.) Something is <em>deeply </em>wrong with the health systems in the USA, but this isn&#8217;t a political blog. Let&#8217;s just say that most of the money and effort is wasted and leave it at that.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>If you&#8217;ve got a startup or are self employed, guess what? You&#8217;ll do better at that if you are in great shape! https://www.health.harvard.edu/mind-and-mood/exercise-can-boost-your-memory-and-thinking-skills The biggest benefit of working for yourself is that you don&#8217;t have to conform to some workplace&#8217;s idiot ideas about how <em>you</em> will best perform!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-3" href="#footnote-anchor-3" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">3</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>https://www.hsph.harvard.edu/news/hsph-in-the-news/exercising-more-than-recommended-could-lengthen-life-study-suggests/ You appear to get most of the benefit from the first hour-ish a day of exercise, and doubling or quadrupling it increases healthspan and lifespan but not as much. It&#8217;s diminishing returns, although I&#8217;d argue it&#8217;s worth it to find the 2 hours a day.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-4" href="#footnote-anchor-4" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">4</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>You are overwhelmingly likely to be stronger and look sexier if you hit all the muscle groups four times per week, but the evidence for living longer is weaker vs two times a week. Yes, this applies to both men and women. And absent high levels of androgen hormones, no, female bodies won&#8217;t get big bulging muscles from lifting weights. They will get lean and strong. https://www.livestrong.com/article/438477-how-often-should-i-lift-weights-per-week/</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-5" href="#footnote-anchor-5" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">5</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5474906/</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-6" href="#footnote-anchor-6" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">6</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>There's little evidence that these checkups are all that useful prior to 65 for most people, or even post 65 in many cases, although you can talk to your doctor to see whether that wild generalization applies to you. Another way of putting it is to ask the question, "How many people like you would have to get this checkup to save a life, or cure a disease?" followed by "Of those, how many will have a health scare due to a test that got it wrong?" Aside from some basic screenings that you can get basically anywhere, it seems like the tests aren't precise and accurate enough to provide good, reliable numbers on most things, and the scans will find all sorts of problems that will never develop into something you'd ever notice. Those basic screenings are really important though!</p><p>That's not to say there's not a place for this kind of intensive workup. But if you are thinking that a single blood test will tell a random person on the street whether they they have a hormone or vitamin that is &#8220;in the optimal range,&#8221; the answer is probably not. You may need many tests samples from many different fluids and tissues over an extended period of time to say definitive things, even then we don't always get it right, and the biopsies can cause their own problems! There's mostly not a secret executive checkup that works, at least not until you reach the level of wealth/power to where you have a personal physician who's seeing you every day or every week, and that's such a tiny marginal improvement for a young healthy person that why waste your time?</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-7" href="#footnote-anchor-7" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">7</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>In Moscow, they are capable of running a public sewage system and tap water system perfectly well, but can&#8217;t prevent money in private bank accounts from disappearing, while in Mexico, at a similar level of GDP/capita, the tap water is mostly unsafe to drink. Not only does Argentina have high inflation, but they have multiple, wildly different, official government exchange rates between their currency and the rest of the world&#8217;s money! In order to figure out how your own country is insane, you will need to travel widely and spend time with locals who can force you to take an unbiased look at your own culture in the mirror.</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Yes, You Can Afford It. But Do You Want To?]]></title><description><![CDATA[#stayrich #liverichly A happy life is going to be full of things you are happy to replace, and full of people you aren&#8217;t. Don&#8217;t stretch to buy things, and you won&#8217;t stress about owning them.]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/yes-you-can-afford-it-but-do-you</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/yes-you-can-afford-it-but-do-you</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 01 Jul 2024 21:53:33 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mrs. Solving Wealth and I just got back from a vacation in Martha&#8217;s Vineyard a bit ago. I&#8217;m a big real estate nerd,<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> so I like to pull up a real estate app when I pass a for sale sign, and that usually leads to going down a rabbit hole of local mansions for sale. I <em>definitely</em> don&#8217;t want to own a house outside my hometown,<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> but hey, there are some nice properties here that I totally have enough assets to purchase!</p><p>$7M will buy you a <em>really</em> nice beach home on Martha&#8217;s Vineyard, and at least this week, while 90+ degree temperatures<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> are sweeping much of the nation, I&#8217;m enjoying sunny days with a light breeze and highs in the mid 70s.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a> I&#8217;m not big into heat, so this is super attractive to me! If I had my own place here, I could customize it how I want, come visit any time it was too hot at home, etc. On the other hand, I have a bunch of projects going on right now. Is it worth my time? Is it going to stress me out to afford this place? Let&#8217;s do some math!</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Under normal circumstances, different parts of your home will last different amounts of time, but you will generally end up putting enough money into maintenance to rebuild it from scratch every 30 years or so. However, the salt air corrodes <em>everything</em>, the nor'easters blast your roof and your landscaping, and flooding is increasingly a thing on those desirable beachfront lots. So let&#8217;s use 20 years instead.</p><p>It&#8217;s hard to separate the cost of the lot from the cost of the house, but I&#8217;m guessing that a $7M beachfront home is probably $2M of lot and another $5M of house, so let&#8217;s use that. That works out to $20,833/month of maintenance, on average. SERIOUSLY?! Wow. OK. Well, what about insurance, taxes, and utilities? My real estate app estimates $1,039/month for tax, and another $1,822 for insurance. I&#8217;m guessing it&#8217;ll probably run another $500/month for utilities, since I won&#8217;t be there that often and I&#8217;ll probably put in solar. So that covers electric, water, sewer, trash, landscaping/plowing, and we&#8217;ll skip the gas/oil since I&#8217;ll put in low temp heat pumps.</p><p>My principal and interest would be $37,106 at current rates with 20% down, apparently.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-5" href="#footnote-5" target="_self">5</a> According to <a href="https://www.firecalc.com">FireCalc</a>, starting with $5.6M in a 100% stock portfolio and withdrawing $37,106 monthly for 30 years results in a wildly negative balance on average, so I&#8217;ll pay $7M cash instead of taking out a loan. I can always refinance later if rates get low enough. That means I just have to make up for the money I failed to make in the stock market, which works out to about $32K/month. On the other hand, the house will probably make about that in appreciation, so we&#8217;ll call it a wash and not worry about opportunity cost.</p><p>So all in, my house costs me about $24K out the door each month, and then we need to throw another few K in for a property manager. Call it $27K with a good one. Ouch!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-6" href="#footnote-6" target="_self">6</a></p><p>You know that friend who bought a brand new car, and always parks it diagonally across two lanes at the back of the lot, and freaks out about whether your shoes are completely dry and free of sand before you get in the vehicle? And then when they inevitably got a tiny little ding the in parking lot of the grocery store, they wouldn&#8217;t shut up about it for a month? Yeah, they bought too much car. </p><p>In theory, you might be able to afford the thing, but do you want to? $27K/month buys an awful lot of international business class tickets. It will buy a short private jet flight every month. It will buy a week every month at some of the most expensive hotels on Earth. It buys art, mansion rental, boat charters, and a really nice vehicle several times a year!</p><p>So, yes, you can afford it, but do you want to? If you keep your personal-use real estate to under 10% of your net worth, that leaves <em>plenty</em> of other money to support a great lifestyle. If you keep it under 15%, then you&#8217;ll probably have a good time. Since I don&#8217;t have $70M<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-7" href="#footnote-7" target="_self">7</a> yet, I think I&#8217;ll hold off on the house on Martha&#8217;s Vineyard.</p><p>A happy life is going to be full of things you are happy to replace, and full of people you aren&#8217;t. Don&#8217;t stretch to buy things, and you won&#8217;t stress about owning them.</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Yes, ok, I can hear you. I&#8217;m a big nerd in basically all ways. Very funny.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>We&#8217;ve been down that road, and it leads to trees falling on gas meters, and then trying to get the gas shut off and repaired from a thousand miles away.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-3" href="#footnote-anchor-3" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">3</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Yes, degrees F. I measure my beer in hogsheads also. That&#8217;s 32+ C for the rest of the world.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-4" href="#footnote-anchor-4" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">4</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>23ish C.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-5" href="#footnote-anchor-5" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">5</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>I miss those days of 2.5% mortgages with 15% down!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-6" href="#footnote-anchor-6" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">6</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>I can hear some of you screaming at the screen, &#8220;What about AirBnBing it out?!&#8221; Turning your expenses into businesses is a great technique, but it has its own set of peculiar costs. Don&#8217;t worry! We&#8217;ll go over that in a future post! There&#8217;s always a creative solution, but sometimes they&#8217;re not worth it either. On the other hand, for the right people, in the right circumstances, they definitely are!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-7" href="#footnote-anchor-7" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">7</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>And 7 * 10 = 70 is assuming that I didn&#8217;t own my primary residence!</p><p></p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[How to Make Any Investment Unreasonably Risky]]></title><description><![CDATA[#stayrich Debt is dangerous, even if it isn&#8217;t yours.]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/how-to-make-any-investment-unreasonably</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/how-to-make-any-investment-unreasonably</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 21 Jun 2024 22:53:07 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We love repeatability. Take anything that&#8217;s good. Do it more. Do it again. Scale it. Do it bigger and better and more and more. More is better, right?</p><p>Take the home real estate market. Until 2009, the expression &#8220;safe as houses&#8221; lacked any hint of irony. Or take the recent SVB (Silicon Valley Bank) mini-crisis. SVB went bankrupt by investing in &#8220;risk free assets,&#8221; US Federal Treasuries. Losing money on those is supposed to be literally impossible!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> Venturing farther into esoteric markets, in cryptocurrency, crashes have happened repeatedly when <s>investors</s>gamblers use automated markets to post collateral and borrow more crypto, which they post as collateral and borrow still yet more crypto. All of these examples have a single thing in common: debt.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>In the early 2000s, people started taking out NINJA loans (no income, no job, accepted!) to buy real estate. They loaded up on interest only loans. But worse than that, they moved from traditional 20% down loans to 10%, then 3%, then 0%, and in some exotic cases, loans where the borrower received a check at closing! What&#8217;s the worst that could happen? The bank figured they could always foreclose, sell the house for a profit, and screw over the borrower. After all, home prices always go up, and never go down. They especially never go down in hot markets, and they especially never go down in all the hot markets simultaneously across the entire country. I think we know how that ended up.</p><p>Over a decade later, Silicon Valley Bank took their depositor&#8217;s money, turned around, and invested it into long term US government bonds. Those long bonds paid a higher rate than short term bonds, and yes, long bonds could theoretically lose value if the Fed raised rates, but the Fed would have to raise rates suddenly and enormously for SVB to go bankrupt. Yes, they had borrowed a ton of money from their depositors, but rates had literally never risen that fast and that much in the entire history of the USA! It was impossible to lose money! Well, impossible right up until the moment when it happened.</p><p>So what&#8217;s the lesson here? Debt is dangerous, <em>even if it isn&#8217;t yours.</em> In the Great Financial Crisis of 2009, it didn&#8217;t matter whether your home was free and clear, or had a nice, responsible 20% down mortgage, or you bought it with a crazy cash out NINJA loan. The neighbors were all busy gorging themselves on insane levels of debt, and when the market crahed, all the home values cratered together. The SVB depositors got bailed out by the FDIC, the Fed created a &#8220;special facility&#8221; to prevent the panic from spreading, and we&#8217;re all paying for it through fees at our banks and slightly higher inflation. The Bitcoin investors in 2018<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> who bought and held still lost value on their coin, even if it came back a few years later.</p><p>The fact that there was short term money to be made with irreponsible debt, at scale, <em>was the thing that caused the crash!</em> Home values would never have crashed if that debt never happened. In the case of SVB, it wasn&#8217;t big enough to move interest rates up all by itself. But the same conditions that made it seem like a great idea to borrow all the money from depositors and dump it in long bonds also caused the Fed to spike interest rates.</p><p>So ask yourself; which of your investments are levered up? What is your debt load? What would you do if you had a cash flow crunch? How would you make your payments? This is a normal level of prudence.</p><p>What investors fail to do, over and over and over again, however, is ask these questions about the entire market, thus making debt dangerous. So now I want you to go back and ask yourself a different question. Which of your investments are in things where the levels of debt across the market are high and rising? Which of your co-investors or counterparties (the people/entities who owe you money) are going crazy with debt?</p><p>Debt causes crashes. Look under the hood of any market bubble,<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> and you&#8217;ll find people borrowing like there&#8217;s no tomorrow. Look under the hood of any bubble popping, and you&#8217;ll find that debt going bad. Any investment can be risky if enough debt is involved. </p><p>As rich people, we basically are immune to financial problems, as long as we stay rich! You know what&#8217;s better than making a ton of money and then losing it all in a hot market? Making way less money and not losing it all! Any investment, no matter how &#8220;safe,&#8221; can be made absurdly risky with enough debt.</p><p>On the other hand, the &#8220;right&#8221;<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a> thing to do if you know market is in a bubble might be&#8230; nothing. Alan Greenspan correctly called the tech bubble in 1999 in a speech broadcast to the world. Of course, stock market investors who got out in 1999 missed the crash, but they also missed out on all the gains between 1999 and 2001, and the gains were larger than the crash! The &#8220;right&#8221; thing to do was not just nothing, it was to keep buying!</p><p>For veteran cryptocurrency investors, the mania and hype that preceed any crash are so predictable at this point that people make roller coaster memes about it. And the &#8220;best&#8221; way to make money in that market historically has been to do as little trading as possible on the very best coins, with no leverage, and hold for as many years as possible. People who ignore the booms and also ignore the busts generally outperform the people who try to time the market, in almost every market!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-5" href="#footnote-5" target="_self">5</a></p><p>So what do we do? Ignore rising debt levels, or trade on them? The answer, as usual, is nuanced. It won&#8217;t hurt to be aware when a market is in a mania. Don&#8217;t get caught up in the mania, and you&#8217;ll avoid the FOMO (fear of missing out) that might cause you to panic buy. You&#8217;ll feel smug and justified when the market crashes later, and that feeling will help prevent you from panic selling during the low times. At the same time, having an understanding of the broader levels of debt in a market will help you identify things that might just be completely mispriced, and that will help you find deals and avoid disasters. Stay rich, friends.</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>See, there&#8217;s always a footnote with these things. Losing money by investing in US Tresuries is indeed impossible if a long list of rare things never happen, you don&#8217;t count inflation, and you hold the Treasuries until they mature in a few decades. If you have to sell them early, and rates rose fast enough over the course of the time you held the bond, you might lose money. But who ever needs to sell an investment early? Oh, wait. Anyone could end up in that situation!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>And 2022, and 2021, and 2014, and 2012, and 2010&#8230;</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-3" href="#footnote-anchor-3" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">3</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>You might have to look pretty deeply, though. How many people in 2007 knew what a collateralized debt obligation on a mortgage backed security was unless they were one of the people making money from the business of selling all those bad loans? The finance industry loves complexity.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-4" href="#footnote-anchor-4" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">4</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>I&#8217;m using scare quotes for a reason. The right thing for me is probably not the right thing for you, because we are different people with different spending needs and preferences and emotional ability to handle the booms and crashes. But you&#8217;d never take something you read on the internet and go blindly follow that like a recipe without using your brain and doing due diligence, right? Right?</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-5" href="#footnote-anchor-5" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">5</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8695249/ &#8220;&#8230;the most active traders perform worse than less active traders even on a gross excess return basis.&#8221; This is about the stock market, but the principles generally hold in other markets as well.</p><p>There are two main reasons for this: tax drag, because Uncle Sam mostly won&#8217;t tax you until you sell, and trading fees, coupled with the fact that most markets are generally going up over the long run, but every dollar made in a short term trade is a dollar someone else lost. That means that the shorter term your thinking is, the more you are playing poker at the casino and needing to beat the rake on every session, while the longer term your thinking is, the more you benefit from humanity generally getting richer over time.</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Rich Get Richer]]></title><description><![CDATA[#getrich #stayrich The richer you are, the more volatility you can afford. After all, if you have to go a few years taking lower end vacations but you get massive returns in the long run, great!]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/the-rich-get-richer</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/the-rich-get-richer</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 14 Jun 2024 15:16:22 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Note: this post is a statement about how things are. This post is not a statement about how things should be. If you think you are reading a subtext within this post about how human society or governmental policy should be changed, you are inserting that opinion yourself. This post takes no position on what, if anything, should be done at the societal level in response to these facts about the of the math of investing. Here at Solving Wealth, we are allergic to politics. This is a post about what you should do in your own financial journey.</em></p><p>The universe is biased towards the rich. Setting aside any sort of policy environment,<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> rational wealthy folks will, over time, tend to accumulate wealth faster than equally rational poor or middle class folks. Why? In a word, risk.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>If you&#8217;ve ever set up an investment account in the USA, you had to fill out some form of questionnaire in which your bankers were required to ask you how much risk you were willing to take on. This survey is pretty silly, if you think about it. It&#8217;s like asking what mph<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> you drive. An experienced driver would respond, &#8220;Uh, are you asking for an average? Am I driving a dirt track through the woods, or on a straight and level track in a high end car trying to set a personal speed record?&#8221;</p><p>But no, we&#8217;re expected to rate ourselves from &#8220;conservative&#8221; to &#8220;speculative&#8221; as if risk was a one-dimensional scale with an extremely limited number of choices. To a real investor, risk is a nuanced and rich topic. If you ask me about my risk appetite, I&#8217;m going to respond, &#8220;Uh, what kind of risk? Volatility? Wipeout risk? Over what time horizon? Measured against what benchmark? What are the goals we are trying to achieve? How attached are we to hitting them, vs. settling for the backup goals? What are the backup goals?&#8221; It&#8217;s hard to fit all of that thinking into a silly little survey, so I always just answer &#8220;speculative.&#8221;<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a><a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a></p><p>Kind of by definition, a rich person<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-5" href="#footnote-5" target="_self">5</a> has all their needs met and then some, while a poor person lives on the edge. Therefore, a rich person <em>should</em> always be ready to cut back on their spending,<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-6" href="#footnote-6" target="_self">6</a> while a poor person will suffer some nasty real world consequence if they do so. If an investment offers wild fluctuations over the short run, but a ton of growth over the long run, the rational rich person can choose it, and the rational poor person should not.</p><p>This would all be academic, except that there are people who sit around all day and figure out ways to make money by arbitraging risk vs. long term growth.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-7" href="#footnote-7" target="_self">7</a> Therefore, unless you notice something before everyone else, an investment is either going to be highly volatile <em>and </em>high growth, or low volatility <em>and</em> low growth. A checking account won&#8217;t pay much interest, but the dollars you put into it today will be the same number of dollars you can pull out tomorrow, barring some extremely unusual edge cases.</p><p>The stock market will randomly lose 25% in less than a month, or 80% in under a decade, but it has always come back. On the other hand, a low cost, whole world stock market index fund is also close to the <em>least</em> risky thing you can buy for any money you don&#8217;t need for 30 years, because while it might bounce around along the way as the talking heads on various media whip people into panic buying or panic selling, it&#8217;s going to get you growth that beats inflation consistently by a large margin in the long run.</p><p>The richer you are, the more volatility you can afford. After all, if you have to go a few years taking slightly lower end vacations but it sets you up for massive returns in the long run, great! But if you have to go a month without eating, well&#8230;</p><p>So the poor hold cash, food, and other predictable assets. The middle class start buying some precious metals, bonds, and real estate, and then stock market index funds as they get richer. The rich have all of those, but can also afford to buy or build a business, take a flyer on a single stock, invest in startups, cryptocurrencies, <em>on top of</em> whatever the latest thing is that might 1000x your money, or might lose it all.</p><p>As an example, an angel investor probably needs to put a minimum of $50K into each company, on average. However, at the earliest stages, only 1% of startups might go up 1000x.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-8" href="#footnote-8" target="_self">8</a> So the rich person who carefully invests $15M using talent and judgment across hundreds of startups might see returns of $150M or more over the next couple decades, while that poor person can&#8217;t even scrape together enough to make a single investment, and if a middle class investor is foolish enough to put $50K into a few startups, they are overwhelmingly likely to just lose it all.</p><p>Because rich folk can afford risk, rich folk reap rewards. This is why it&#8217;s vital to have a high savings rate. Unless you power through the earliest phases of your financial journey by paying off debt, building an emergency fund,<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-9" href="#footnote-9" target="_self">9</a> you will never make it to being able to afford the stock market, any significant amount of cryptocurrency, or businesses.</p><p>Similarly, that&#8217;s why, if you aspire to become richer than you are, you must also educate yourself about investing at the next level. The poor can't afford volatility or wipeout risk in their investments, because they live with the personal wipeout risk of life every single day. The middle class start to be able to afford volatility, and the rich can afford to take on some limited wipeout risk as well, if the investment is carefully fit into a portfolio constructed around long term goals, and the wipeout risk is constrained to a particular asset. Invest in your own education, so that you can take the fastest path through the first part of your financial journey!</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Remember, this post is not about politics! This post is talking about the nature of investment, not policy! If you are reading this post and getting some sort of left or right or libertarian or progressive or conservative or any other form of political slant out of it, you are pulling something out that we assiduously attempted to avoid putting in! Of course all humans have political leanings, but let&#8217;s set those aside for one blog post so we can have a much more interesting discussion about investing, agreed?</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>km/h for those of you who don&#8217;t measure things in hogshead per acre-foot.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-3" href="#footnote-anchor-3" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">3</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>If you answer anything other than &#8220;speculative,&#8221; your banker might give you a hard time when you are trying to take advantage of a nice investment opportunity. Of course if you answer anything other than &#8220;speculative,&#8221; the banker might prevent you from investing in something stupid, but I wouldn&#8217;t count on it!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-4" href="#footnote-anchor-4" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">4</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>The problem I have with this survey is that it primarily revolves around how the investor feels about their investment. Investors shouldn&#8217;t feel about their investments. They should feel about their goals, and then invest to hit those goals. Rationality is a poor tool for deciding what&#8217;s important in life, while emotionality is a poor tool for figuring out how to get there.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-5" href="#footnote-anchor-5" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">5</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>rich = high net worth <em>and</em> high income for the purposes of this discussion. poor = low net worth <em>and</em> low income. HENRY (high earning not rich yet) is a temporary state.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-6" href="#footnote-anchor-6" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">6</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>If you had to cut your spending by 45% tomorrow, you have a pretty good idea where you&#8217;d start. Right? <em>Right?</em></p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-7" href="#footnote-anchor-7" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">7</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>If I had an investment that was super predictable with high growth, I&#8217;d buy the crap out of it! If enough of my friends do that also, the price will go up faster than it would have otherwise. Because of a group of investors called &#8220;momentum traders,&#8221; it might keep going up until the asset actually was set up to lose value! Then it would crash. The &#8220;smart money&#8221; sells at the top, the process repeats over time, and the asset is left with <em>precisely</em> the amount of crashes necessary to scare off just enough investors such that the volatility and long term growth even out. In modern portfolio theory, this is called the &#8220;efficient frontier,&#8221; and it&#8217;s why most assets that are traded widely and get enough attention from the markets have a precise mathematical relationship between growth and volatility. It holds true for total market bond funds, total stock market funds, and even Bitcoin and Ethereum!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-8" href="#footnote-anchor-8" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">8</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>These numbers are illustrative, and while they are probably true for some subset of startup investing, are also probably not exactly right. </p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-9" href="#footnote-anchor-9" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">9</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>The rich don&#8217;t even need an emergency fund, because what&#8217;s the worst thing that could happen, a $25K roof repair? That&#8217;s less than a month of normal spending for a decamillionaire.</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Marriage and Money]]></title><description><![CDATA[#stayrich #liverichly Do we want golf lessons? Pilot lessons? How many big trips should we take each year? This is fun! I get to fantasize about spending money with my best friend!]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/marriage-and-money</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/marriage-and-money</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 07 Jun 2024 19:18:54 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Divorce is the very most expensive thing a wealthy person can do. Divorce can incinerate millions in legal fees and stupid behavior, and cost you millions more in assets that go to your ex. So, uh, don&#8217;t get divorced. Here at Solving Wealth, we&#8217;re not opinionated on children, sex, in-laws, or politics, but we&#8217;ve got all sorts of opinions about money! To prevent money from being the thing that causes divorce, there are some very practical and simple things Mrs. Solving Wealth and I do regularly.</p><p>First of all, we view our marriage as permanent. Because of that, it&#8217;s not neccesary to think in terms of my money and Mrs. Solving Wealth&#8217;s money. It&#8217;s all our money. Are you worried that your date is after you for your money? Well, don&#8217;t get engaged yet! Their colors will show after a few months to years. Until you are both convinced that the other person is absolutely worthy of sharing everything you own, don&#8217;t get married! I know couples that didn&#8217;t join their finances, and it seems to work for them. But I don&#8217;t know how those marriages work. I know how to make a marriage work where everything is shared.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>There&#8217;s one exception to this rule, and that&#8217;s our personal fun money accounts. Money flows into those accounts based on the budget we built together, and that money is purely personal. That means that the fun money gets spent on whatever each spouse wants, with no judgment: not even a raised eyebrow.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a></p><p>It&#8217;s vital that we stay on the same page about two things: budgets and investments. Every year, we sit down and talk about how we want to change our budget, based on our long term budget rules that tell us whether we are getting a raise, taking a paycut, or leaving things alone. We also redo our budget category allocations after every big life change, like a move. By starting with how much to spend based on rules we agreed to, and allocating the money to each budget category together <em>before</em> we want to spend it on something in particular, we head off most money arguments before they get started.</p><p>Within a budget category, we also don&#8217;t spend money above a certain threshold without talking first! We haven&#8217;t adjusted the threshold up in years, and we probably should, because it&#8217;s now about 1/500th of our monthly budget. On the other hand, it&#8217;s nice to just send a short text to Mrs. Solving Wealth that I&#8217;m paying the property taxes. A simple thumbs up emoji is enough for most things. We have a few exceptions to this, but they are for recurring expenses, like groceries, or all the purchases that might go into a single project, like a bathroom remodel.</p><p>We also have a portfolio framework, which is our ideal allocation to each asset class. Of course as assets go up and down, some asset classes grow until they are above their ideal allocation. We have an agreement to spend out of those, unless we have a specific investment thesis we&#8217;d like to explore. If we find an asset that we&#8217;d like exposure to, we sit down and have a specific conversation about. So for example, Mrs. Solving Wealth might bring me a rental property that she thinks is a great purchase, or I might talk to her about a stock that I think will outperform. We make all investment decisions together, and either spouse has implicit veto authority by just not saying yes. If you can&#8217;t convince your spouse that an asset is worth buying, it&#8217;s probably just fear of missing out that&#8217;s motivating you. That veto has saved the Solving Wealth household from so many terrible investments!</p><p>We also regularly game out possible future investment scenarios together. What if cryptocurrency collapsed, or went to the moon? What if real estate values declined by 50%? What would we do if the stock market collapsed? By talking about it ahead of time, there&#8217;s less worry about what to do in the moment.</p><p>We also game out future expenses and lifestyle decisions together. Do we want a vacation home?<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> Do we want golf lessons? Pilot lessons? How many big trips should we take each year? What&#8217;s an ideal fleet of vehicles? This is fun! I get to fantasize about spending money with my best friend! We also talk about short term budget decisions, like whether to buy a piece of art and let the durable furnishings budget category go negative for a few weeks by overspending.</p><p>Lastly, and we don&#8217;t do this as often as we should, we go over our cash flow and balance sheets. At least once a quarter, but ideally every month, I give Mrs. Solving Wealth an update on how we spent our money since the last meeting, how much money is currently available for spending in each category, and how all our investments are doing. I do the paperwork on this, not because Mrs. Solving Wealth can&#8217;t, but because I&#8217;m a big nerd who actually enjoys this stuff. The regular readouts help keep the trust level up. I get someone asking intelligent questions, which helps me trust that I didn&#8217;t make a mistake, and Mrs. Solving Wealth learns about our current financial situation. It&#8217;s at these meetings, typically, when we decide whether to cancel Netflix and go to HBO for a few months,<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> or whether we want to buy a vehicle.</p><p>That trust is the key to a happy financial union. Once we&#8217;ve delegated a financial decision to each other, no nitpicking! We trust the other person did their best!</p><p>Eliminating money arguments won&#8217;t make divorce impossible. But it will remove one cause of marital friction! Resolve to talk to your spouse about your finances: <em>all</em> your finances, and build trust with each other as you decide how to spend your riches!</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Look. I know I basically never cook. But copper cookware is just really pretty! It&#8217;s a weird thing to collect for a person who doesn&#8217;t cook. I get it. Well, I don&#8217;t, actually. It&#8217;s a compulsion. But anyway, thanks to the rules around fun money, I get to collect it with no criticism.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Spoiler alert: no! Owning a house out of town seems like a terrible idea, even in today&#8217;s world of internet connected whole house shut off valves! We tried it, and we&#8217;re still fixing the place up after we moved to town! It would have been simpler to just own one house at a time. I&#8217;ll do a future post about our strategy for luxury vacation homes.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-3" href="#footnote-anchor-3" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">3</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Yes, even rich people spend time cancelling subscriptions! The return on investment is amazing for this time spent. It only takes a few minutes to earn a few hundred bucks over the next year!</p><p></p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[How to Purchase a Used Battery Electric Vehicle]]></title><description><![CDATA[#liverichly There are entire books devoted to their tactics, how to defeat them, and how to emerge victorious at the dealer. I&#8217;ve got a simpler solution. Never set foot on a car lot!]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/how-to-purchase-a-used-battery-electric</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/how-to-purchase-a-used-battery-electric</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 06 Mar 2024 16:26:34 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/how-to-pick-a-car">Last post, we went over how to pick out a vehicle.</a> I offered the opinion that money rich and time poor people want a battery electric vehicle (BEV), and that because they are improving so quickly, we should get cheap ones and replace them regularly.</p><p>Does gasoline run in your veins? Do you have a passion for classic cars, for the roar of an engine on an open road? Do you love using a clutch to keep your motor in the power band? Well, this post isn&#8217;t for you. This post is about how to minimize the hassle of regularly replacing an inexpensive, reliable vehicle that fits your mission, so you have more money and time left over for everything else in your life!</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>First, let&#8217;s acknowledge a truth abut buying vehicles: dealers are out to get you.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> Americans really only haggle on Craigslist and FB Marketplace, in giant business deals, and when buying cars and houses. Salespeople at the dealers do this all day every day, whereas you wander in only once every few years. They are going to eat your lunch! I worked at a car dealer in the back office in college, and the salespeople would come back and congratulate each other every time they ripped someone off, only to hand them off to the financing person who would <em>really</em> screw over the customer using complicated loans.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> There are entire books devoted to their tactics, how to defeat them, and how to emerge victorious at the dealer. I&#8217;ve got a simpler solution. <em>Never set foot on a car lot!</em></p><p>The moment you set foot on a car lot, the chance of paying more goes way up. Even Kelly Blue Book (KBB) will tell you this. When you put a vehicle into KBB, it will give you three prices, the amount a dealer will pay you for the vehicle, the amount a private party will buy or sell for, and the amount a dealer will sell you the vehicle for. The last one is always the highest and the first one is always the lowest. On top of that, the dealer does not respect your time. They employ tactics like, &#8220;checking with their manager&#8221; and then just go get a coffee in the back.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> They make you go over absurd amounts of paperwork that&#8217;s irrelevant. So we&#8217;re going to skip all that. We don&#8217;t have the time, and why give them the money?</p><p>So we&#8217;re going to buy our vehicle one of two ways. If it&#8217;s a Tesla or another brand that doesn&#8217;t do dealers and will sell used, just go on their website, pick out a vehicle that hasn&#8217;t been in an accident, and hit buy!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a> Also, just as a thing, when you buy a BEV, get the version with the smaller wheels. It will have better ride quality and handling, require cheaper tires, and most importantly, have a higher range!</p><p>If, however, you want a &#8220;traditional&#8221; brand that does dealers, we&#8217;ll do classifieds instead. cars.com, cargurus.com, autotrader.com, craigslist.com, ebay.com, and many other sites offer the ability to tell whether a vehicle is being sold by a dealer or not, although many dealers lie on their listings and claim to be a private party, so be sure to discard those! Don&#8217;t buy from Carvana, CarMax, or similar, unless you need a <em>very</em> specific vehicle. While they mostly lack the terrible incentives and practices of traditional dealers, their prices are high and non-negotiable, and the occasional negotiation is good for you, at least if it&#8217;s an even playing field!</p><p>Are you worried you won&#8217;t get a warranty? Don&#8217;t. The service departments at dealers are where the dealers make most of their money. Even if something is covered under warranty, they&#8217;ll try to find something else to overcharge you for. BEVs generally have two kinds of problems: minor ones that you as a wealthy person will shrug and pay for, and the battery slowly aging to the point where the car is junked. One of the reasons that dealers are so hostile to BEVs is because they need so little service. You set aside some money every month with an automatic transaction for maintenance, repairs, and your next vehicle.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-5" href="#footnote-5" target="_self">5</a> Right? Right?</p><p>Next, let&#8217;s contact the seller and get the battery health and VIN number. Ask how far the vehicle says it will go on a full charge. Divide that into the EPA listed range.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-6" href="#footnote-6" target="_self">6</a> Discard any vehicles that are well below the average battery health for their mileage. This means that the original owner was probably hard on the battery, regularly running it down to 0% and charging it to 100%, instead of babying it by running it from 20% to 80% most of the time. This is not a 100% surefire way to tell the battery health, but it will get you close enough, for most vehicles. Before you buy, you should look up the actual battery health check procedure for your model and year and have the seller perform that..</p><p>Run the VIN number through carfax and make sure that it&#8217;s never been in an accident.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-7" href="#footnote-7" target="_self">7</a> Unfortunately, there&#8217;s a scam that Texas has failed to crack down on, so if the vehicle was originally sold somewhere outside of Texas, but then was retitled in Texas, you shouldn&#8217;t buy it. <a href="https://www.automoblog.net/vehicle-title-fraud/">It was likely moved to Texas to hide the accident.</a> Private parties are less likely to do this, but some dealers do it all the time, so watch out.</p><p>Pick three vehicles to test drive. If you need to go some distance to get them, make sure that you&#8217;ve pre-arranged an inspection at a local mechanic. Don&#8217;t start haggling yet. We want the seller to be set up for sunk cost fallacy.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-8" href="#footnote-8" target="_self">8</a> Also, why put in effort if the vehicle turns out to have some deal killer? For example, I don&#8217;t know why, but the Tesla performance seats, which are widely lauded as super comfy, are instant<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-9" href="#footnote-9" target="_self">9</a> back-ache city for me.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-10" href="#footnote-10" target="_self">10</a></p><p>Pick the most favorable vehicle to test drive, get it checked out with your mechanic, and only after you have the bill of clean health, start haggling! We&#8217;ll go over how to negotiate in general in a future post, but a good negotiator figures out what the other party wants that you don&#8217;t value, and then gives it to them in exchange for something you do value, which is generally a lower price. Perhaps they are interested in a quick sale, or perhaps they want someone who&#8217;s going to really love the vehicle. Figure it out, and play to your strengths, but also don&#8217;t be at all afraid to walk away. There are plenty more vehicles out there. Negotiation is a life skill, and this isn&#8217;t wasted time. Practicing here will pay dividends enormously on houses, job offers, business sales, future vehicles, etc.</p><p>The seller may be worried about scams. Unfortunately, that&#8217;s part of life these days! Once you reach an agreement, you should both sign a quick "bill of sale&#8221; document, which you should have printed out and brought with you. It will say that the seller is selling you the vehicle, and have blanks for their name, price, the VIN, etc. Make sure that the bill of sale specifies that they turn over not only a valid title, but transfer control in the associated app and any accessories you want as well!</p><p>Then, offer to go with them to your bank and they can watch the cashier write a cashier&#8217;s check as they sign over the title. That way, they can be sure the cashier&#8217;s check is genuine. Alternatively, you can send them cryptocurrency such as US Dollar Coin (USDC), or even pay cash! However, if you are going to use USDC or cash, meet in a physically secure place! Never use Venmo, PayPal, Cash App, Zelle, etc. to buy a vehicle. These apps are not designed for this use-case, and there&#8217;s a good chance they will flag the transaction as fraud even when it&#8217;s not, creating enormous hassle.</p><p>Note that nowhere in this process did I talk about financing. Simply put, it&#8217;s not worth your time. Even if rates, which are above 5% as of the time of this writing, go back down, you might only earn a few hundred dollars on the time value of that money, even for a pretty expensive vehicle. And all the readers of this blog have plenty of cash to write a big check, because you&#8217;ve been saving up with an automatic transaction. Right? Right?</p><p>Lastly, it&#8217;s time to get the vehicle registered, insured, buy accessories, and customize it for you! And then, of course, you probably have a vehicle that you need to sell as well. But those are posts for next time!</p><p>Buying a BEV from a private party will take the same amount of time or less as buying from a dealer if you do it properly. It will likely save you at least 10% the cost of the vehicle, so following this process is almost certainly <a href="https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/buying-time">worth your time</a>!</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Look. I&#8217;m going to be <em>really</em> harsh on dealers here. I&#8217;m not going to say that <em>every</em> dealer is out to get you; it&#8217;s just that the majority of them encourage behavior that while mostly legal, doesn&#8217;t have a place in polite society. And those that do try to be honest are a dying breed, even though they were never common. Auto dealers in the USA are increasingly owned by conglomerates that rival the size of the auto manufacturers! So while I hate to write off an entire category of business in the general case, I feel justified doing it here.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>At least the readers of this blog are less likely to fall for that bit!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-3" href="#footnote-anchor-3" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">3</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>I&#8217;ve watched them do it! And don&#8217;t think you can win by going with Carvana or similar. Yes, they won&#8217;t waste as much of your time. But you pay even higher prices.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-4" href="#footnote-anchor-4" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">4</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Make sure you can back out if you go to pick it up and the battery health is terrible when you actually get it, but with Teslas, the only battery that has ever had problems was the 90KWhr one they put into the Models S and X for a few years. Just don&#8217;t get that trim level. Also, go on youtube and look for videos that show you what items to check when you take delivery.</p><p>Tesla will happily fix problems that are there when you pick up the vehicle, but I can pretty much guarantee that unless the previous owner went over the vehicle with a fine toothed comb, there will be something stupid and small wrong with the vehicle. Maybe a switch just isn&#8217;t hooked up. Perhaps the taillights were installed wrong and take on water, but the previous owner never noticed because the live in a desert. There will be something.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-5" href="#footnote-anchor-5" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">5</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>A warranty is a kind of insurance. Remember that all insurance is a trade of a guaranteed loss for the hope of avoiding a big loss. And the entity writing the insurance policy needs to make a profit. You&#8217;re rich, so you don&#8217;t need to worry about buying insurance for small things. You&#8217;ll just cover them out of pocket.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-6" href="#footnote-anchor-6" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">6</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>So for example, a 2020 Model X Long Range Plus advertised 371 miles of range when new. If the current owner says that it reads 352 when fully juiced up, then (352/371) * 100 = 94.9% battery health, which is pretty respectable for a 4 year old vehicle. </p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-7" href="#footnote-anchor-7" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">7</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>If it was anything more than a minor fender bender, the battery pack might have suffered damage. BEVs are better in many ways, but once the battery pack is bent in an accident, you may have to write off the whole vehicle due to worries about spontaneous combustion. Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP aka LiFePO4) batteries are less susceptible to this issue.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-8" href="#footnote-anchor-8" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">8</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Sunk cost fallacy, in this case, means the seller is going to spend some time corresponding with on you. They are going to view that time as an investment in a successful sale, so when you threaten to walk away if they don&#8217;t lower the price, they are more likely to give you the price you need.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-9" href="#footnote-anchor-9" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">9</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Ok, it actually take 90 minutes. I must be a different shape than people who normally buy these vehicles.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-10" href="#footnote-anchor-10" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">10</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>One thing I like to do is drive new, interesting vehicles on vacations. I use Turo.com for this. For example, I have an upcoming trip and I&#8217;m renting a F150 lightning, trying it out on Tesla&#8217;s supercharging network to see if it really works seamlessly, how it does on a 2-4 hour trip, etc. That way, I get to get the fun of a new vehicle experience, and I can tell if I&#8217;d ever like to purchase a F150 Lightning of that model year and trim level someday.</p><p>I once drove a second generation Miata and the top of the windshield was <em>precisely</em> at eye level, so I couldn&#8217;t see a thing without craning my neck! I never would have guessed this without sitting in the cockpit, but that vehicle was entirely useless to me.</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[How to Pick a Car]]></title><description><![CDATA[#liverichly Time spent going to gas station is wasted time. Time spent stranded because some system broke unexpectedly is wasted time. Time spent taking a vehicle in for maintenance is wasted time.]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/how-to-pick-a-car</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/how-to-pick-a-car</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 03 Mar 2024 23:13:28 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I once spent several hours researching washing machines. Was that overkill? Perhaps, but it got me a washing machine that should last about a decade longer than the normal kind. <a href="https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/buying-time">At my hourly rate</a>, considering the hassle and time that replacing a washing machine takes, that&#8217;s a <em>great</em> use of my time! Vehicles are a much larger investment, so you should carefully research your next car. Remember, money you spend unnecessarily on your vehicle is money you can&#8217;t use for your next luxury vacation with your family! I already did a ton of work on this topic, so let me offer you a shortcut!</p><p>It used to be that buying vehicles was super easy for rich people.</p><ol><li><p>Take about 10% of your monthly spend, preferably a bit less, and set it aside for your next vehicle purchase.</p></li><li><p>When one of your vehicles needs maintenance, take that out of the money you set aside.</p></li><li><p>Every so often, add up how much your vehicles are worth using sites like Kelly Blue Book or CarGuru&#8217;s Used Car Price Trends, and when your set-aside money plus the value of your vehicles is consistently falling because of maintenance, go buy a used high end vehicle to replace the one that&#8217;s turned into a money pit. Personally, I liked to buy 6 year old Acuras with low miles, and I&#8217;d dump them at about 180K miles, because they had very predictable maintenance needs.</p></li></ol><p>You could still do that, if you like. This &#8220;buy high end, replace rarely,&#8221; strategy is optimal for any sort of technology that&#8217;s changing very slowly. And let&#8217;s be honest, until recently, vehicles just weren&#8217;t getting better that fast. I used to have a 2006 Acura with automatic emergency breaking and adaptive cruise, so even &#8220;new&#8221; safety features are old enough to vote! </p><p>However, <em>and this is really important! Do not buy any vehicle that still has a Takata airbag in it. Takata cut corners and designed airbags that slowly absorb moisture from the air and over the years transform into what is effectively a loaded sawed off shotgun aimed at your head. Then they declared bankruptcy and closed up shop, leaving everyone else to clean up their mess. Don&#8217;t be frugal here! Check for Takata airbags and just say no! If your current vehicle has them, get them replaced or junk it!</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Let&#8217;s say that you want the new hotness in transport: a BEV (battery electric vehicle). BEVs are getting better very rapidly, so it makes sense to buy the lowest end vehicle you can get away with and replace it as often as you can put up with. In 2014, a BEV that got 200 miles on a charge was doing well! Today, for the 2024 model year, a vehicle has to crack 400 miles to impress. Future vehicles show every sign of improving dramatically.</p><p>And there&#8217;s good reason to get a BEV. Rich folks have the luxury of not worrying about cash flow. So if the cheapest thing for our lives takes more money up front, whatever. We don&#8217;t need to care. Most people know that electricity is a super cheap fuel, but good BEVs also need dramatically less maintenance. That, in turn, means we have to spend less of the one quantity we can&#8217;t buy more of: time.</p><p>Time spent going to gas station is wasted time. Time spent stranded because some system broke unexpectedly is wasted time. Time spent taking a vehicle in for maintenance is wasted time. Good BEVs are dramatically more reliable and have maintenance schedules that read like this for their first several years: </p><ol><li><p>Change tires when the tread is low, and rotate them annually.</p></li><li><p>Refill windshield wiper fluid when the little light turns on.</p></li><li><p>Replace cabin air filters when they get clogged.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> </p></li></ol><p>Unless you enjoy &#8220;doing car stuff&#8221; for fun,<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> you want a BEV.</p><p>Generally, a vehicle is going fall into one of a few &#8220;mission classes&#8221;: prestige/luxury/comfort, racing, &#8220;work,&#8221;<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> adventure, and beater. This blog&#8217;s audience can afford a top 1% vehicle for any of those missions, <em>especially</em> if they don&#8217;t buy new.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a> </p><p>Personally, my dream fleet consists of a luxury SUV for attending galas or going on long trips, a roadster for fun, a work truck to indulge my construction fantasies, and a reliable beater so I have the option to not flex on people and not attract attention.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-5" href="#footnote-5" target="_self">5</a></p><p>With combustion vehicles, there are many gotchas if buying used, but with BEVs, a 30 minute visual inspection by a vaguely competent mechanic and pulling the battery health is basically all you need to do.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-6" href="#footnote-6" target="_self">6</a> Batteries lose range over time, and you can look up what "average&#8221; is for your prospective model and year, and see whether your potential fleet addition is above or below the competition. A combustion vehicle will work pretty well until the transmission or engine fails, often catastrophically. At that point, you may want to junk it. A BEV gradually loses range until it&#8217;s not worth driving, at which point junk it. Pretty much everything else is worth fixing.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-7" href="#footnote-7" target="_self">7</a></p><p>Ok, but how do you decide what to buy? Here&#8217;s a checklist:</p><ol><li><p>Unless you plan to use the vehicle only around town, is it a Tesla? If not, is it a Ford or another brand that will have access to the Supercharger network? The Supercharger network is the only way to take a long trip. Day to day, you can charge up at home off a normal outlet, or if you drive many miles on back to back days, a charger that your electrician can put in your garage. But for a long trip, accept no substitutes for the Supercharger network. Using it is just like a road trip with a combustion vehicle, and using other networks is gambling whether you will get stranded.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-8" href="#footnote-8" target="_self">8</a></p></li><li><p>Does your manufacturer have a history of spontaneous combustion? (If you are buying an older Hyundai/Kia or GM BEV, the answer is yes, because the same company designed both batteries.) It&#8217;s pretty stupid that this is something you need to check for, but some companies seem to be wildly incompetent.</p></li><li><p>Does your model come from brand with a history of building batteries that degrade quickly? (If you are buying a Nissan, the answer is yes. Just don&#8217;t buy a Nissan for this reason, as early model LEAFs lost battery health at many times the speed of the competition.)</p></li><li><p>Does your specific model and battery have a battery history you can look at? Many brands are just getting started, and some batteries degrade much faster than others. However, if you are looking at a LFP<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-9" href="#footnote-9" target="_self">9</a> battery, you can skip this step, as LFP batteries will, barring gross engineering incompetence, outlast the vehicle.</p></li><li><p>If it&#8217;s a Tesla, don&#8217;t purchase the first 4 model years of any particular model. For whatever reason, while Teslas have bulletproof drivetrains, everything else is often rushed for the first few years of production. So Model S is fine for 2016 and later, Model X for 2020 and later, Model 3 for 2021 or later, and Model Y for 2024 or later. Don&#8217;t get a Cybertruck until the 2027 model year.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-10" href="#footnote-10" target="_self">10</a></p></li></ol><p>Once you&#8217;ve picked out the mission, go find the battery degradation curve online.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-11" href="#footnote-11" target="_self">11</a> Make sure that the vehicle ages more like a Tesla Model S than a Nissan LEAF. Go buy the oldest vehicle you can with the best battery health. Don&#8217;t get attached! Like cell phones in the 2010s, you&#8217;ll want to swap for newer and better regularly!</p><p>Especially as you climb north of $10M, spending 10% of your budget on your toys is a large amount of buying power! Add in the value of your time, and your choice of vehicle can be the difference between being able to squeeze in all sorts of extra purchases, experiences, and time with the people who love you. So invest a little bit of time up front, and you&#8217;ll earn dividends, both monetary and in your schedule, for years to come!</p><p>We&#8217;ll go over how to actually buy that vehicle that next post. Stay tuned!</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Every 5 years or so a BEV might need a brake job, but it&#8217;s nuts how <em>needy</em> combustion vehicles are! We put up with it because there wasn&#8217;t an alternative before recently.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>And hey, if you enjoy doing car stuff for fun, great! More power to you!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-3" href="#footnote-anchor-3" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">3</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>There are scare quotes here because for every &#8220;work truck&#8221; that supports the trades, there are probably five that are working <em>super</em> hard going between the grocery store, the office, and maybe an occasional trip to the lake. Meanwhile I know a bunch of trades folk who operate their business out of the back of a beat up minivan.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-4" href="#footnote-anchor-4" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">4</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>For example, as of this writing, you can get a Rolls-Royce Phantom with less than 50K miles on it for under $100K easily. Yeah, you&#8217;d have to keep it for many years to have enough for maintenance, but it&#8217;s perfectly reasonable for someone with as little as a $20K total monthly budget to own that as their only vehicle, if they don&#8217;t do too many miles per year. And prestige and racing are the only two missions where it&#8217;s worth it to even <em>think</em> about spending $100K. </p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-5" href="#footnote-anchor-5" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">5</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>I don&#8217;t own all of those, and just for simplicity&#8217;s sake, I may never. But it&#8217;s good to have goals, right?</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-6" href="#footnote-anchor-6" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">6</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Well, once you pick a good make and model. But we&#8217;ll get to that.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-7" href="#footnote-anchor-7" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">7</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Or else it&#8217;s glaringly obvious, like rust holes in the body, etc.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-8" href="#footnote-anchor-8" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">8</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>I hope some day I can update this post without this warning, but for today, only Tesla has built chargers every few miles along every major highway. As of this writing, only Ford has access, but other manufacturers are scheduled to gain access rapidly. And only the version 3 and 4 chargers offer access to non-teslas, but here&#8217;s <a href="https://www.tesla.com/findus?v=2&amp;bounds=61.53507895879832%2C-54.687702408998916%2C12.021747650869985%2C-138.79903053399892&amp;zoom=5&amp;filters=nacs%2Cparty">a map you can use to see whether your trip will be viable</a> in a non-Tesla that has access to Superchargers. (Spoiler, it will be, and remember, this is the <em>worst</em> this network will ever be.)</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-9" href="#footnote-anchor-9" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">9</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Aka lithium iron phosphate, aka LiFePO4.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-10" href="#footnote-anchor-10" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">10</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>The current version has some bugs, like slicing off careless fingers when the front trunk closes! I&#8217;m pretty sure they&#8217;ll fix this, but if they let that bug ship, what else is lurking in there?</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-11" href="#footnote-anchor-11" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">11</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Do an image search for your make, model, year, and trim along with &#8220;battery degradation&#8221; (the quotes are important). Recurrent also appears to have individualized reports for each vehicle you are looking at, but I only found them when I was researching this post, so I&#8217;m not sure how accurate they are. The best source appears to be crowdsourced data from owners&#8217; forums, but Kelly Blue Book just unveiled a battery health metric, so this is about to get way easier.</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[You Can't Take it With You, and You Can't Die With Zero]]></title><description><![CDATA[#stayrich #liverichly Or: how I learned to stop worrying and love the ups and downs of the market.]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/you-cant-take-it-with-you-and-you</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/you-cant-take-it-with-you-and-you</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 26 Feb 2024 20:43:09 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In my coaching, when I show people the projections for how much money they could accumulate over a lifetime with a high savings rate, many people are happy with the idea. They like the idea of generational wealth, or generally adding to the wealth of humanity. Some, however, don&#8217;t want to &#8220;save too much,&#8221; and I commonly get asked if there&#8217;s a way to make sure they save &#8220;just the right amount.&#8221; Sometimes when I coach people who are retired or already wealthy, they want to spend it all and die with a bunch of uninheritable credit card debt.</p><p>Well, I&#8217;ve got some bad news for you. No. That&#8217;s cute, but it&#8217;s not practical for most folks. If you read this blog, you are probably a high income or high wealth person, or at the very least a person on a path to a high income and wealth. For you, any choice you make to save &#8220;just the right amount&#8221; is a choice to give up free money and make the world a poorer place.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> You like free money, don&#8217;t you?</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>The reasoning is a bit subtle, but let&#8217;s step through it. First, I&#8217;m going to assume that you want your money to last more than a couple decades, whether that&#8217;s for yourself, your loved ones, or a cause you care about. If you have no one that you care to leave your money, then yes, you can spend it all right down to precisely zero. But, also, you&#8217;ve got a problem! The most rewarding thing a human can do is to help the happiness of another human being! Go find someone or something to leave your money to!</p><p>So assuming you want your money to last more than a couple decades, and you&#8217;re still aiming to die with zero, you&#8217;ve got another problem. There are <em>very few</em> asset classes that will claim to give you a predictable cash flow that far out, and they are all terrible. The more predictable they are, the more terrible they are! On the other hand, the asset classes that generally grow strongly over the long run are totally unpredictable over the short run!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> So without the ability to know where your portfolio will be, how do you plan to die with zero?</p><p>Then there&#8217;s the issue of lifespan. In 1950, 50% of all baby boomers born that year were predicted to be dead by the end of 2018.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> In 2021, 74% of them were still alive!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a> Say you are aiming to leave your money to your grandchildren, who are now 5 years old. How long does that money need to last again? How could you possibly know?<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-5" href="#footnote-5" target="_self">5</a></p><p>But what about that financial advisor who told you in their soothing voice about how if you let them handle it, they&#8217;d make sure it was all ok? They&#8217;re not lying, exactly. They can probably insure you against going bankrupt. But they&#8217;re taking all your free money for themselves and their real clients, the people selling that financial product. You&#8217;re not the actual client. You&#8217;re the livestock. (I&#8217;m sure the dairy cows like the farmer also.)</p><p>Let&#8217;s say you want to buy the &#8220;safest&#8221; long term financial product in existence. That&#8217;s generally acknowledged to be a US Treasury bond. However, while you will almost certainly receive the <em>exact</em> amount of dollars in return for your purchase, how do you know how much stuff those dollars will buy? Inflation and taxes are a thing, after all. I&#8217;m writing this in 2024, and people in 2019 would have sworn up and down that 9% inflation was impossible in the next decade, but year over year CPI hit 8.99% in June of 2022!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-6" href="#footnote-6" target="_self">6</a></p><p>Let&#8217;s say you buy a 20 year bond that pays 5%. First, we pay taxes. Fortunately, there&#8217;s no state tax on Treasuries, so let&#8217;s say that you end up paying 20% as an average tax rate back to the Feds, although readers of this blog are more likely to pay closer to 30%. So now you only get 4% (5 * 0.8 = 4).</p><p>But then inflation is a thing as well. You are not a hermit, so you have to pay for home repairs and taxes and doctors and grocery checkout clerks and so on. Their costs are going up, so yours are also! Let&#8217;s say that inflation averages 3.5% over the lifetime of the Treasury. So now you are getting 0.5%. Ouch! That&#8217;s not much to live on! You&#8217;re going to have to spend down the principal and hope you and your heirs die young!</p><p>Ok. What about inflation protected bonds? Those are a thing, right? Yeah. Problem is, they pay a lower yield, so we&#8217;re right back where we started! Tax exempt inflation protected securities? Even less money, and now we&#8217;re having to go to states instead of the Feds to buy our bonds, so we&#8217;ve introduced a risk that the state will go bankrupt. That happens! It&#8217;s rare, but it&#8217;s a thing!</p><p>Every time we try to clamp down risk in one place, it bubbles up somewhere else. But what if we buy a whole life indexed insurance policy and overfund it with a guaranteed minimum return and inflation protection and borrow against it so the withdrawals are tax free and then the policy can pay itself back at your death? I saw this super sleezy sales-droid trying to sell me that and my eyes glazed over with how complicated it was.</p><p>Look. I&#8217;m not going to tell you that those products are <em>always</em> a bad idea. But they are complicated, they usually lock you in for decades, and <em>wow</em> are they expensive! And what&#8217;s that insurance company going to do with your money anyway to guarantee that return? (I promise they don&#8217;t have a money tree.) Turns out, they mostly just buy stocks or real estate, take a cut, and use the rest to pay for your returns. And that &#8220;downside protection&#8221;? Their plan is that if the market goes bad enough so they can&#8217;t cover it, they will declare bankruptcy and let the government mandated insurance<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-7" href="#footnote-7" target="_self">7</a> fund bail out your policy.</p><p>It&#8217;s not that that bail out won&#8217;t happen. It&#8217;s just that in a future where the economy is totally crap and your giant insurance company is bankrupt, what else is going wrong? &#8220;Too big to fail&#8221; is a thing. But the next category up is &#8220;too big to bail.&#8221; Just ask British folks who invested in Icelandic banks what happened in 2009. There was literally not enough money in Iceland to cover it, so rather than bail out the British and indebt their great-grandchildren to cover it, the Icelandic government, very politely, gave the British the middle finger and reoriented their economy around tourism. So ask yourself. Who&#8217;s guaranteeing your downside protection, and what is <em>their</em> threshold for deciding to let <em>you</em> fail?</p><p>I hate to break it to you. I really do. But there&#8217;s <em>no such thing</em> as a &#8220;safe&#8221; investment for the long run. You either take the risk of losing all the digits in your bank account, or you take the risk of your digits becoming worthless even if the numbers haven&#8217;t changed.</p><p>But have heart! This is a good thing! It&#8217;s freeing! It means you can stop chasing the impossible and start chasing the probable! Companies, people, and governments come and go, but the human endeavor is mostly up and to the right! There are crashes and crises, but the history of humanity is one of picking ourselves up and making the future better than the past. We screw up, we work twice as hard as if we&#8217;d done it right the first time, and the world gets better.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-8" href="#footnote-8" target="_self">8</a></p><p>So what to invest in? If you want the lowest hassle portfolio, put your money into a broad, no load, low cost, market cap weighted stock market index fund from an issuer who can&#8217;t change their fees after they get you locked in.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-9" href="#footnote-9" target="_self">9</a> Check it once every year or two, and spend your life on things that <em>matter</em>.</p><p>If you are still working, I can <em>guarantee</em> it will crash. But guess what? Buy more while it&#8217;s on sale! If you are retired, you will need perhaps 5% to 10% worth of &#8220;ballast&#8221;<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-10" href="#footnote-10" target="_self">10</a> to rebalance in and out of. Personally, I like precious metals or real estate for that. Again, I <em>guarantee</em> that this investment portfolio will crash! But guess what? It&#8217;ll come back, and if it doesn&#8217;t, it&#8217;s probably the end of the world, all money is worthless, and you&#8217;ll need to fall back on your backup portfolio of canned goods and bunkers.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-11" href="#footnote-11" target="_self">11</a> That stock portfolio will, in all likelihood, <em>wildly</em> outperform any sort of &#8220;safe&#8221; investment. You&#8217;ll live a richer life for it.</p><p>Real estate can also do very well, better than the stock market, but you will need to get good at it. I call being good enough to outperform the stock market &#8220;investing superpowers.&#8221; You will need an investing superpower to go beyond stock market index funds. In real estate, this isn&#8217;t that hard to do, but it will take some study and some time, and that is a post for another day.</p><p>Embrace a little bit of uncertainty! Honestly, most of the risk is &#8220;upside risk&#8221;<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-12" href="#footnote-12" target="_self">12</a> anyway. If instead of aiming for your investments to be inflexible, you add just a <em>smidge</em> of flexibility to budget year to year, you will be able to pick up that free money.</p><p>So lift your eyes to the horizon! No one can guarantee you safety, but I <em>can</em> guarantee that if you learn enough about this subject, you will sleep very well at night, satisfied in the knowledge that you and yours are amongst the most secure humans who ever lived.</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Remember, your investment choices matter! When you chose a lower growth asset for the long run, real people make real choices to produce that predictability for you, trading away humanity&#8217;s higher future wealth for your predictable returns. Or they just lie to you and pocket the difference.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Mumble, mumble efficient market hypothesis and the efficient frontier. If you came up with an asset class that was predictable with a high return, there would be a mad stampede to buy it, driving up the price wildly, making the return unpredictable again! It would probably overshoot the &#8220;correct&#8221; value because of momentum traders, leading to a big crash!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-3" href="#footnote-anchor-3" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">3</a><div class="footnote-content"><p><a href="https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/USA/united-states/life-expectancy">https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/USA/united-states/life-expectancy</a></p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-4" href="#footnote-anchor-4" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">4</a><div class="footnote-content"><p><a href="https://www.chicagotribune.com/2021/08/16/how-many-people-are-still-alive-from-the-year-you-were-born/">https://www.chicagotribune.com/2021/08/16/how-many-people-are-still-alive-from-the-year-you-were-born/</a></p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-5" href="#footnote-anchor-5" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">5</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Actually, demographers have some surprisingly good projections, but also they seem like total science fiction, so again, how could you know?</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-6" href="#footnote-anchor-6" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">6</a><div class="footnote-content"><p><a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCNS">https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCNS</a></p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-7" href="#footnote-anchor-7" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">7</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Insurance insurance? Meta insurance? This is called reinsurance, and then, at least in the USA, there&#8217;s an assumption that the government would bail out the insurance companies if they couldn&#8217;t make their payments.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-8" href="#footnote-anchor-8" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">8</a><div class="footnote-content"><p><a href="https://ourworldindata.org/much-better-awful-can-be-better">https://ourworldindata.org/much-better-awful-can-be-better</a></p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-9" href="#footnote-anchor-9" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">9</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Broad means invests in almost the entire stock market, if not the whole thing. No load means there&#8217;s no sales commissions involved. That&#8217;s a thing?! Yup, and you don&#8217;t want it! Low cost means that it charges under 20 bps (0.2%) annually, and preferably under 5 bps. Market cap weighted means that it just buys an even slice of every company, and a bigger slice the bigger the company is. That way, you only rarely have trading fees or taxes from the fund issuer buying and selling things. And what kind of issuer can&#8217;t raise their fees over time? One that&#8217;s either a non-profit, or where the fund owns the company instead of the other way around. I won&#8217;t directly point to a specific company that has that structure, but do a search for synonyms for &#8220;forefront.&#8221;</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-10" href="#footnote-anchor-10" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">10</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Weirdly, adding a bit of another asset class that does worse on average than stocks can <em>increase</em> your overall returns. Yeah. Let that one sink in. It&#8217;s like adding 1 + 1 and getting potato. The reason is something called &#8220;sequence of return risk,&#8221; and that&#8217;s a post for another day, or you can check out the generally acknowledged expert on the matter over at <a href="https://earlyretirementnow.com/2024/02/12/100-percent-stocks-for-the-long-run/">https://earlyretirementnow.com/2024/02/12/100-percent-stocks-for-the-long-run/</a></p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-11" href="#footnote-anchor-11" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">11</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>That&#8217;s a post for another day, but there&#8217;s a dearth of clear eyed content out there that helps people understand where the boundary between irrational paranoia and sane preparedness for a wealthy person lies. I&#8217;ll illuminate that boundary clearly in the future.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-12" href="#footnote-anchor-12" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">12</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>This is investor jargon for, &#8220;We&#8217;re going to get rich!&#8221; I guess it sounds smarter than &#8220;stonks go up!&#8221;</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Buying Time]]></title><description><![CDATA[#liverichly There&#8217;s a fine line between stressing over each moment wasted and spending our time richly, but we make that decision every day whether we like it or not. After all, we can&#8217;t hoard time.]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/buying-time</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/buying-time</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 24 Feb 2024 01:21:16 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Time is peculiar. It&#8217;s a commodity, but everyone, no matter how rich or how poor, gets exactly one minute per minute. Time can not be hoarded. Not only do you receive one minute per minute, but you <em>must spend</em> exactly one minute per minute! It can&#8217;t be traded, although we can trade in things that substitute for time. It&#8217;s absurdly difficult to measure; you will never know how much you had until it&#8217;s actually completely gone.</p><p>Consider the trade-off of time vs. money. Like most commodities, there is a supply and demand curve for time. Sorry for the economics lingo!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> &#8220;Supply and demand curve&#8221; is economist for &#8220;As the price goes up, I&#8217;ll buy less of it.&#8221; However, because it&#8217;s literally impossible to trade time with someone directly,<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> each person values time different using their own curve, and that curve might not even be consistent! We&#8217;ve all had the experience of desperately needing time one day, and sitting around with less to do other days!</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Consider the implications of this! A billionaire still only gets one minute per minute. Dekamillionaires<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> get one minute per minute. The poorest people on Earth get, you guessed it, one minute per minute! Therefore, the value of time varies by as much the variability in spending. How much is your time worth?</p><p>Understanding the approximate value of <em>your</em> number is key to living a rich life. Just as we are frugal but not miserly with money, we must also be frugal but not miserly with time. There&#8217;s a fine line between stressing over each moment wasted and spending our time richly, but we make that decision every day whether we like it or not. After all, we can&#8217;t hoard time.</p><p>So how much is your free time worth? For most Americans, we can subtract out various activities like sleep, hygiene, eating, exercise, socialization, chores, and the paperwork of adulting. Out of the 168 hours in a week, a healthy lifestyle will lose at least 50 to sleep, at least to 10 to eating and food prep, another 5 to exercise and hygiene, and probably an average of 10 to paperwork and chores. We are all of us tribal primates, and will literally die of lonliness and isolation, so we can probably factor another 10 hours a week to spend time with loved ones, even if we&#8217;d prefer more. So we are left with 83 hours a week, or if we are living rich and full lives, probably closer to 70 hours that we may spend each week as we please. Folks who are still working may have more like 20-30, depending on their commute, or they may not be meeting their basic needs and actually have negative free time!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a></p><p>For a nice round number, say you have $10M in investible assets and are retired on $30K/month, pre tax. Your 70 hours/week of free time might plausibly be worth about $90 each, post tax, if you had no structural expenses. But you do! Your house needs maintenance and upgrades, your vehicles must be repaired and replaced, you must pay for vacations, and education, and food, and all the other items that go into a modern upper middle class life.</p><p>So now we reach the heart of the trade-off between time and money. Every line item in your monthly budget reduces your hourly rate. In choosing to spend money on, for example, a nicer house, you are choosing <em>not</em> to buy a service that will save you time, for example by hiring cleaners. You are also choosing to spend your time maintaining that house! Still liking that fancy high maintenance house? On the other hand, if you buy a dishwasher, you are revealing that you value the money cost of a dishwasher less than the time cost of washing dishes. </p><p>Economists have another piece of lingo that they like to use here: &#8220;revealed preferences.&#8221; It basically means, &#8220;Yeah, yeah. We hear you <em>saying</em> how much you value this, but words are cheap. What you <em>do</em> says how you <em>really value</em> this thing.&#8221; I regularly ask myself whether I&#8217;m being a hypocrite, or whether I&#8217;m truly living my values. Part of that is spending my money consistently across my entire budget.</p><p>Let&#8217;s assume, for example, that you don&#8217;t mind cleaning, but you don&#8217;t like it either. And you have the opportunity to purchase time from a housekeeper at $50K/year, which works out to about $25/hr. Should you do it? You are literally buying back your time here. Basically, it comes down to whether your surplus budget is worth more than your surplus time. If you genuinely value your time at more than $25/hr, this is a no brainer.</p><p>Or is it? The cleaner won&#8217;t magically understand your preferences. They are a real human being, with all the glorious and messy preferences, likes, dislikes, and life complications that entails. They are not a magic wand that produces tidiness and cleanliness. You will spend time and energy expressing yourself, supervising, helping them with their troubles, etc.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-5" href="#footnote-5" target="_self">5</a></p><p>If you go with a cleaning service instead of an employee, the rate will be higher and the personal relationship lower, but there&#8217;s still overhead, and now there&#8217;s issues of trust, with an endless parade of new faces through your bedroom every week. Still, if we do a good job selecting the person or service, we can buy back some time here. To be safe, we should probably add some overhead. Let&#8217;s call it 50%, which means that in this example, we are revealing a preference to purchase time for anything less than $37.50/hr.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-6" href="#footnote-6" target="_self">6</a></p><p>Now let&#8217;s look at the other side: selling time. Would you spend an hour on an activity that you neither hate nor love in exchange for $20? $50? $900? Or perhaps you work, in which case you can just take your hourly rate. (Remember, you can get a rough hourly rate by taking your yearly compensation and dividing by 2000. So $400K is $200/hr, $200K is $100/hr, and so on.) Hopefully the number you buy time at is lower than the number you sell time at!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-7" href="#footnote-7" target="_self">7</a></p><p>How much would you pay to not clean your house? How about a meal service? Laundry? A driver? A home with a shorter commute? Why aren&#8217;t you buying back your time?</p><p>There are several possible good reasons. Perhaps you hate the idea of having someone tromp through your bedroom to clean it. Perhaps cooking is a hobby. Perhaps you want the budget flexibility, and it&#8217;s difficult to buy a small enough amount of time to make sense. But perhaps, you are being unreasonably frugal and think that you&#8217;re saving money when you&#8217;re really just being miserly and shortsighted. An hour spent washing dishes is an hour not spent visiting your parents, or reading a book, or petting a whale, or getting the genuine joy of going out of your way to improve someone&#8217;s life!</p><p>Look, it&#8217;s fine if you don&#8217;t have an exact number for what your time is worth. We are not perfectly logical spending robots. The idea is to get a vague number, and to have that be generally consistent across your entire budget. And of course you will adjust that based on your other preferences. You will spend more per hour to get rid of activities you hate, and you will gift time or sell your time at a reduced rate for activities you love!</p><p>The next time you look at your credit card or checking statement, see if anything jumps out at you. What are your revealed preferences for your hourly rate? Is it consistent? What&#8217;s the lowest value way you spend your time? What&#8217;s the highest? What&#8217;s your plan to increase the value of your time?</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Who am I kidding? I <em>love</em> nerding out with economics lingo!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Various concepts for how this might work in an alternate universe have led to amazing works of science fiction and fantasy.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-3" href="#footnote-anchor-3" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">3</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Deka = 10x. So a dekamillionaire has ten million dollars.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-4" href="#footnote-anchor-4" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">4</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Yeah, you can probably get away with this for a year or two! But even here, you are still spending time! Don&#8217;t have time to do any exercise at all? Guess what? Instead of spending one hour exercising, you&#8217;re just shortening your life by a couple hours! OK. So it looks like I just pointed out a way to spend more than one minute per minute. Ugh.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-5" href="#footnote-anchor-5" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">5</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Remember, service workers are not robots. You&#8217;re not a monster, right? Yeah, I didn&#8217;t think so. Humans need love, respect, autonomy, etc. You&#8217;re going to have to make room for this person in your life, just as they are making room for you in theirs. And as an employee, they are doing most of the adjusting.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-6" href="#footnote-anchor-6" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">6</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>This is different than what the service provider is getting paid, and almost always higher! Don&#8217;t confuse your own revealed preference for buying time with how much you are paying the person!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-7" href="#footnote-anchor-7" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">7</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Remember, in our example, these are both activities you neither hate nor love. It&#8217;s perfectly rational to buy time at a high price and sell it at a lower price if you love your work and hate the chore you are outsourcing! Or perhaps you don&#8217;t have the requisite skill to do the thing at all!</p><p></p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Long Term Budgets]]></title><description><![CDATA[#stayrich To stay rich, you must spend much less than you could every day for the rest of your life... This is a law as iron as gravity.]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/long-term-budgets</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/long-term-budgets</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 19 Feb 2024 19:35:21 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To stay rich, you must spend much less than you could. You must do this every day for the rest of your life. If you wish your heirs to stay rich, you must teach them this practice.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> Stop and think about this. How will it feel to have wealth, and not spend it? Anyone who fails to internalize this lesson is doomed to work forever. I guarantee it. This is a law as iron as gravity.</p><p>You may see neighbors and family who spend their money quickly. Ironically, due to the nature of wealth, they may be able to keep this up for a decade or two! You may feel envy at their lack of cares. But any entity which spends faster than it earns will end in ruin.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> If you have a problem with this, get over it! The alternative is losing your wealth!</p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe now&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:null}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary" href="https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?"><span>Subscribe now</span></a></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Reframe your internal view of money to be safety, security, and options. Money is for spending, but spend much of it later, and save most of it for the future!</p><p>It's impossible to achieve wealth early in life and spend it down to zero precisely at your death. That's just not the way the math works. In the end, you will either have way too much, or way too little. I know which one I'm aiming for!</p><p>The first key lesson for achieving and stewarding wealth is understanding what spending truly is and is not. <em>Spending is anything that makes your net worth drop. Earning is anything that makes your net worth rise.</em> This is different that your accountant&#8217;s definition. This is different than the IRS&#8217;s definition. But this is the definition we will use, because we must sharply define our ultimate goal.</p><p><em>Investing, therefore, is the act of trading cash for ownership, in the hopes of future earnings. Or, it is the act of trading ownership for cash, in the hopes of preventing future spending.</em> Your luxury car, therefore, is not an investment. It is spending. Your personal residence is also probably not an investment. Unless you purchase the absolute minimum asset to meet your actual need for shelter and transportation, you are spending.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> Beware of spending masquerading as investment! It&#8217;s hard to pull out a credit card often enough to spend down a great fortune. But no one is ever more than a single bad judgement away from ruin when they are &#8220;investing.&#8221;</p><p>Ok. Enough philosophy! Let&#8217;s get down to budgets! How much is reasonable to spend each year? If you are not yet FI (financially independent),<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a> then this is pretty simple. Save at least 50%, and preferably closer to 75% if you are a high earner. At this rate, just a few years of a modest lifestyle will put you on track for a lifetime of higher spending.</p><p>If you are already FI, congratulations! Stop and celebrate! This is a massive milestone! This is the beginning of an ever increasing trajectory for your lifestyle, even though you may occasionally see a dip. In your first year of FI, it's generally safe to spend about 3.6% of your liquid net worth.</p><p>There are situations where that percentage might be higher. Talk to your insurance agent. If they tell you that you are less than 30 years from end of life for the last of your heirs, then your spending can be higher. If you have investing superpowers and can out-earn the stock market consistently for multiple decades, you can safely spend more.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-5" href="#footnote-5" target="_self">5</a> If you have a financial advisor who can outperform the stock market, you can push this higher. <em>Kidding!</em> That person mostly doesn&#8217;t exist! If they could really outperform, why would they bother with you? They&#8217;d already be wealthy, and they&#8217;d have fired you as a client a long time ago. Really. The next Warren Buffett isn't working for your local wealth advisor. I promise.</p><p>But that's OK! A person who earns average returns for decades will actually do better than the vast majority of investors. Repeat this to yourself. Average is great, and chasing outperformance generally means underperformance.</p><p>There are many situations where your initial withdrawal rate might be lower than 3.6%. If you are focused on wealth building, you might choose to start lower, so that your money grows faster. If you don&#8217;t invest aggressively in either the stock market or asset classes that keep up with the stock market, then you will need to start lower.</p><p>What percentage is safe after that first year? If you are still working, then as long as your earning is a high fraction of your spending, stay at that initial rate. But if you stop working, or your work becomes your side hustle to your increasingly successful portfolio, then there are three basic strategies you'll find online, two of which are pretty useless.</p><ol><li><p>Adjust your spending each year by inflation, and don&#8217;t change it otherwise. This is a silly strategy, because this strategy will slowly turn you into Mr. Scrooge, sitting on an ever increasing pile of wealth and never improving your lifestyle.</p></li><li><p>Keep your spending to precisely 3.6% of the current value of your portfolio. This is a silly strategy, because you will be required to spend wildly in bull markets, and cut your spending overnight by 75% or more in bad times! No one wants to live like that.</p></li><li><p>There&#8217;s a middle ground. For this strategy, let&#8217;s adjust our spending upwards or downwards by 20% plus inflation each year. Last post, we noted that this was the minimum noticeable change that one feels. If we can stay under the target while increasing spend by 20% plus inflation, great! If we have to leave our spending as is and only adjust for inflation, fine. And if we need to lower spending by 20% plus inflation, we&#8217;ll do that instead. Taking a spending cut won&#8217;t happen often, but it will happen a few times in your lifetime.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-6" href="#footnote-6" target="_self">6</a> Each year, we will lower our target withdrawal rate by 0.1%. So if we started at 3.6%, year two is 3.5%, and so on. This gradual lowering the bar is for safety in the long run. By year 24, we will hit 1.2%, which is plenty safe, and we won't have to go any lower.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-7" href="#footnote-7" target="_self">7</a></p><p></p><p>There are a few other similar named strategies. CAPE, Guyton-Klinger, and this strategy all trade away your ability to quickly up your spend during good times for the guarantee that you won&#8217;t have to quickly cut your spend during bad times. You may have noticed that almost all massive busts in the markets are proceeded by massive booms, and these strategies force you to stay cautious and not buy into the hype of a bubble.</p><p></p><p>Occasionally, there are massive busts in the market that aren&#8217;t preceded by a bubble, but many of those see a quick recovery, as the market panics and then walks the panic back. So by never overreacting to either the upside or the downside, we are insulated from the year to year gyrations between hype and fear in the markets, and get to experience a stable, mostly even lifestyle.</p></li></ol><p>When confronted with the idea of great wealth, many people have an emotional reaction. Some go wild with greed, imagining themselves having and spending it. Some go wild with envy and anger, imagining someone else having and spending it. To resist these destructive urges, understand that wealth is a great gift, but that it is not solely yours. Your portfolio may seem abstract, because you interact with it as numbers on a screen, but that screen controls real consequences in the real world for real people.</p><p>Understand that you are highly compensated, and you may take a portion of this gift for yourself each year.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-8" href="#footnote-8" target="_self">8</a> But the vast majority of it must remain invested for next year and the next generation! If you spend it down, real people will take down real factories and plow under real farms to pay for your toys and vacations. Real jobs and real productive capacity will be lost. If instead, you wisely steward the wealth, then a steady stream of riches will flow to you and yours forever, and the human project will continue onwards and upwards.</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>No, you won&#8217;t be able to set up some crazy trust that rules from beyond the grave. One of two things will happen, either your heirs will figure out a way to subvert your rules, or your rules will bring your heirs to ruin. Your only choice is to train them and trust them. You won&#8217;t be there.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Yes, this applies even to the US Federal Govt, but due to accounting definitions that twist the words &#8220;spend&#8221; and &#8220;earn&#8221; past all common sense, it&#8217;s actually not only possible for the USG to run a deficit in perpetuity, it&#8217;s a requirement for the system to function! But that&#8217;s a post for another day.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-3" href="#footnote-anchor-3" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">3</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Yes, there&#8217;s an investment component here. You are a hairless primate and without appropriate protection, you will die. But a nice van by the river solves these problems. Your house is way more than you need. That&#8217;s ok! But understand that you are spending here. If you have zero emotional connection to your home, and purchase it solely for the purpose of flipping it at a profit, fine, it&#8217;s an investment. But are you lying to yourself? Are you?</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-4" href="#footnote-anchor-4" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">4</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>How do you know if you are FI? If you have less than 25 years worth of your current annual spending saved up, you are not FI. If you have more than 33 years, you are definitely FI. If you have between 25 and 33, you are either definitely FI or definitely not FI, but it&#8217;s really hard to tell right now because exponential returns combine with the chaos of markets to embody the butterfly effect. A tiny change in trajectory will massively change your outcomes in a few decades.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-5" href="#footnote-anchor-5" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">5</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>What? You can do this? Why are you not already a successful hedge fund manager? Seriously! Quit your job and open a fund! <strong>Right now!</strong> Oh? Suddenly not so confident? Yeah, that&#8217;s what I thought. These people exist. But just as there are very few gold medal Olympians in life, there are very few consistent out-performers in the markets. For every million who set out to outperform, only a few actually do. Remember, by definition, all investors must add up to the market. In practice, a few geniuses eat everyone else's lunch, so the vast majority of investors lose a fair amount to make those geniuses into billionaires.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-6" href="#footnote-anchor-6" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">6</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>This is why I emphasized flexibility in your spending so much in an earlier post! Occasionally, you will need to cut your spending. If you try to arrange your investments to make sure you never have to cut, you will fail and end up poorer in the long run anyway.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-7" href="#footnote-anchor-7" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">7</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>I tested this spending algorithm using Monte Carlo analysis for millions of years of simulated stock market returns, where the stock market was generated using a student-t mean reverting distribution derived from stock market returns going back to 1871. In 200 year runs, it resulted in failure less than 1% of the time. Given that no model is perfect, aiming for less than a 1% failure rate seemed like a waste of time, because risks that weren't captured in the model were dominant at that point.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-8" href="#footnote-anchor-8" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">8</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Try to give some large fraction of that portion away each year, as that is healthy and will buy you great happiness when you get good at it! We'll talk about giving in another post!</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Being Rich and Being Happy]]></title><description><![CDATA[#liverichly]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/being-rich-and-being-happy</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/being-rich-and-being-happy</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 16 Feb 2024 15:02:57 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So why bother getting rich anyway? In <a href="https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/budgeting-is-the-key">my first post on budgeting</a>, I point out that it&#8217;s possible for a person to get $10M by having a high savings rate consistently for decades, as if that should be obviously a good thing, and the massive sacrifice of all that delayed gratification was worth it. But are the rich actually happier? Do we live more fulfilling lives? Today, let&#8217;s take a break from the mechanics of budgeting and talk about why we bother with money at all!</p><p>Let&#8217;s start with the obvious. Modern life requires shelter, food, transport, healthcare,<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> security, etc. And money definitely buys those things. At the personal level, being rich ensures that your supply of each of those things is mostly uninterrupted and of high quality. So being rich definitely removes some sources of unhappiness.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>But can being rich actually make you happy? Perhaps you&#8217;ve heard that above a certain pretty moderate amount of income, being rich won&#8217;t actually make a difference. Well, in my personal experience, that&#8217;s complete hogwash, and I&#8217;ve got science to back me up!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a></p><p>Happiness and a general state of wellbeing is the default state of humanity, in my opinion, if our needs are being met. However, we are a hopelessly needy species, and it&#8217;s <em>also</em> true that it&#8217;s basically impossible to meet our needs completely. Therefore, we increase our wellbeing not by adding goodness to our life, but by subtracting badness.</p><p>Obviously, bad things can happen even to billionaires. We are all of us weak hairless primates, and no amount of money can insulate our lives completely from random meteors, eventual death, or a hurled insult.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> So the central question around wealth, therefore, is how to find the best long term balance between delaying gratification to meet needs later, vs. spending to meet needs now. How much is enough?</p><p>What&#8217;s the actual relationship between money and happiness? Double the money, double the problems? Or double the money, double the happiness? Neither! If you are broke and I offer you $10K, that&#8217;s amazing! But if you have $1B and I offer you $10K, um, sure. Thanks? Economists call this a &#8220;decreasing marginal return,&#8221; or in normal human speak, your first dollar is worth way more than your last one. In fact, the happiness research appears to suggest there&#8217;s a logarithmic relationship. With each step up the ladder of wellbeing, it takes an exponentially higher amount of money. And I don&#8217;t mean that as a metaphor! Literally, each step up the ladder appears to require about 1.2x more than the last one! Without careful tracking people appear to not even notice unless their spending increases by 20%!<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a></p><p>Let&#8217;s start with a subsistence day laborer at the global line of extreme poverty, or about $2.15/day ($785/year). This person lives on the edge. Any disaster of even medium size, and they will literally die, especially if it strikes their whole community.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-5" href="#footnote-5" target="_self">5</a> Let&#8217;s define this as a 1 on the spending ladder. Sustaining this level of spending indefinitely without work requires about $22K invested permanently in the world&#8217;s capital markets.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-6" href="#footnote-6" target="_self">6</a> If they live in an average household size for the USA,<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-7" href="#footnote-7" target="_self">7</a> they will need about $56K. (See rung 1 on the ladder below).</p><p>Where are you on this scale? Median household income in the USA is a bit over $75K, which requires $2.083M invested in the markets. On our ladder, that&#8217;s a bit above a score of 20. Again, this is without working. How about that family that saved up $10M? That&#8217;s a 29. What about your fabulously wealthy friend with $50M? About 38. Lastly, let&#8217;s put Jeff Bezos and friends on our scale. Actually, let&#8217;s do it visually, marking each rung with the net worth necessary to produce that income indefinitely.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-8" href="#footnote-8" target="_self">8</a></p><ol><li><p>Net Worth $56K =&gt; <strong>Income $1,970/yr - Global Extreme Poverty Line.</strong></p></li><li><p>NW $66K</p></li><li><p>NW $79K</p></li><li><p>NW $95K</p></li><li><p>$113K</p></li><li><p>$136K</p></li><li><p>$163K</p></li><li><p>$196K =&gt; <strong>Income $7,060/yr - About ~18M Americans lived below this line in 2022.</strong></p></li><li><p>$235K</p></li><li><p>$282K</p></li><li><p>$339K</p></li><li><p>$407K =&gt; <strong>Income $14,640 - This is close to the USA poverty line for 2022, covering about 12% of the population.</strong></p></li><li><p>$488K</p></li><li><p>$586K</p></li><li><p>$703K =&gt; <strong>Income $26K/yr. This is close to the Swiss poverty line in 2019. Almost 9% of the Swiss population is poorer than this. Also, only 1% of humans in 2018 were higher than this rung. If you are reading this blog, you are probably &#8220;The 1%,&#8221; at least globally.</strong><a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-9" href="#footnote-9" target="_self">9</a></p></li><li><p>$843K</p></li><li><p>$1.01M</p></li><li><p>$1.21M</p></li><li><p>$1.46M</p></li><li><p>$1.75M =&gt; <strong>Income $63K/yr. This is a bit below the USA Median Household Income for 2022. Half of all American households fall below this line.</strong></p></li><li><p>$2.10M</p></li><li><p>$2.52M</p></li><li><p>$3.02M</p></li><li><p>$3.63M</p></li><li><p>$4.35M =&gt; <strong>Income $157K/yr. The top 10% of Americans live here approximately or above.</strong><a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-10" href="#footnote-10" target="_self">10</a></p></li><li><p>$5.22M</p></li><li><p>$6.27M</p></li><li><p>$7.52M</p></li><li><p>$9.02M =&gt; <strong>Income</strong> <strong>$325K/yr. The median family in the USA could make it to this level through a lifetime of saving intelligently in a single generation, and have enough time to enjoy it! They don&#8217;t, but they could!</strong></p></li><li><p>$10.8M</p></li><li><p>$13.0M =&gt; <strong>Income $468K/yr. &#8220;The 1%&#8221; lives above this line, at least in the USA.</strong></p></li><li><p>$15.6M</p></li><li><p>$18.7M</p></li><li><p>$22.5M</p></li><li><p>$26.9M</p></li><li><p>$32.3M =&gt; <strong>Income $1.16M/yr. &#8220;The 0.1%&#8221; lives above this line, at least in the USA in 2022.</strong><a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-11" href="#footnote-11" target="_self">11</a><strong> The air is getting pretty thin here, but there&#8217;s still over 33K Americans and a bit more in the rest of the world. Private jet rides are still a bit of a splurge here. The billionaires you see on TV are all still 30 times wealthier than this!</strong></p></li><li><p>$38.8M</p></li><li><p>$46.6M</p></li><li><p>$55.9M</p></li><li><p>$67.0M</p></li><li><p>$80.4M</p></li><li><p>$96.5M</p></li><li><p>$116M</p></li><li><p>$139M</p></li><li><p>$167M</p></li><li><p>$200M</p></li><li><p>$240M</p></li><li><p>$288M</p></li><li><p>$346M</p></li><li><p>$415M - <strong>Sorry, I&#8217;m getting bored just typing all of these out! We&#8217;ll go by 10s from here.</strong></p></li><li><p></p></li><li><p></p></li><li><p></p></li><li><p></p></li><li><p>$1.03B =&gt;<strong> Income $37M/yr. Finally a billionaire! So these folks are like, basically the same as Bezos, right? Wrong!</strong></p></li><li><p></p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p>$2.57B</p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p></p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p>$15.9B - <strong>Surely we&#8217;ve hit Bezos, right? Wrong!</strong></p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p>$68B - <strong>Approximate net worth of Satoshi Nakomoto at the 2021 peak BTC price.</strong></p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p>$98.5B - <strong>Remember, Bezos can buy and sell this person several times over!</strong></p></li><li><p></p></li><li><p></p></li><li><p><strong>Pity poor Elon Musk, several rungs below Bezos. I mean, sure, his personal space program is better than Bezos&#8217;s, but Bezos owns the Washington Post and Musk&#8217;s Twitter acquisition just isn&#8217;t looking that hot. #hectobillionaireproblems</strong></p></li><li><p></p></li><li><p></p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p><strong>Finally we hit Bezos at just past the 87th rung on the ladder. Imagine how much he&#8217;d have if he&#8217;d been able to keep his marriage together!</strong><a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-12" href="#footnote-12" target="_self">12</a></p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p> </p></li><li><p>$1.5T - <strong>Bezos would need to move up the ladder just a bit to hit here. Alternatively, this is the entirety of the sovereign wealth funds for the country of Norway, which is just about the richest sizable democracy.</strong></p></li></ol><p>So what&#8217;s the takeaway here? First, money doesn&#8217;t guarantee happiness, but it sure looks correlated in a semi-causative way! (This is science speak for, &#8220;Yeah, it probably helps most of the time.&#8221;) Second, wasting your time worrying about your tax rate is obviously a waste of time. Do a bit of tax optimization, duh, but if you can move up 5 rungs through investing and earning, but only 1 to 2 rungs through extreme tax planning, don&#8217;t waste your time!</p><p>Next, understand that the richer you get, the poorer you will feel, and if you let it, that will really make you feel bad about yourself! After all, when there&#8217;s only ~30K Americans to hang out with in your 0.1% social circles, plus another few 10s of thousands globally, you&#8217;re going to rub shoulders regularly with someone who&#8217;s dozens of rungs above you! <em>And you will <strong>never</strong> be as rich as they are, so get over it!</em> The middle class get to hang out with their peers. The rich have to hang out with people who are much poorer or much richer than they are. Learn how to do it gracefully.</p><p>Lastly, <em>understand when to quit chasing money!</em> By the time you hit the high 30s on the ladder, you are a very, very rare person. You are already a high achiever. The difference between you and the next few rungs up is mostly luck. So count your <em>very</em> lucky stars, and focus on maximizing your enjoyment of what you have! I strongly believe it&#8217;s possible to move up <em>your experience</em> of the ladder through efficient spending. Stay with me on this blog, and we&#8217;ll go over how!</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>You&#8217;d actually be surprised how much modern medicine is worthless, as in it doesn&#8217;t really move the needle for a longer healthspan. Compared to other interventions like exercise, clean air and water, sleep, good relationships, a mostly balanced diet, etc., there's not much that healthcare is good for. That said, for the things that medicine is good at, when you need it, you <em>need</em> it.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p><a href="https://www.pnas.org/doi/pdf/10.1073/pnas.2016976118">https://www.pnas.org/doi/pdf/10.1073/pnas.2016976118</a> Note that for the poor sods in the bottom of the happiness distribution, adding money doesn&#8217;t seem to help. Probably they need to focus on fixing the other issues in their lives, or at least reaching peace with them.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-3" href="#footnote-anchor-3" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">3</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>And I&#8217;ve got at <em>least</em> a full blog post in me about the bad things that happen psychologically when a person tries to insulate themselves from criticism, deserved or otherwise! Ever wondered why smart, well resourced people make such obviously stupid decisions sometimes? Stay tuned!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-4" href="#footnote-anchor-4" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">4</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>I apologize, because I can&#8217;t find the paper to back this specific increment with a scientific reference, having read it years ago. However, even if the actual number is 1.05x, or 1.8x, it will change the labels on the ladder, but not the relative placement of things on it, or the relationship between money and happiness and wellbeing overall. The overall argument stands. (<a href="https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2208661120#:~:text=The%20correlation%20between%20average%20happiness,on%20a%20100%2Dpoint%20scale.">https://www.pnas.org/doi/full/10.1073/pnas.2208661120#:~:text=The%20correlation%20between%20average%20happiness,on%20a%20100%2Dpoint%20scale.</a>)</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-5" href="#footnote-anchor-5" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">5</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>This is part of the reason why earthquakes and storms that don&#8217;t even make the news in developed countries can turn the poorest cities into Hell on Earth. They simply have no spare capacity of any sort.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-6" href="#footnote-anchor-6" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">6</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>No, <em>of course</em> no one is living on the global extreme poverty line based on money invested in the markets! This is how much would be required to hit that income.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-7" href="#footnote-anchor-7" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">7</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Hint, they probably won&#8217;t live in a household that small, in order to save money, but let&#8217;s not complicate things.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-8" href="#footnote-anchor-8" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">8</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>All rungs on the ladder are approximate, because we&#8217;re not adjusting for purchasing price parity, taxes, household size (we&#8217;re assuming all households are sized 2.51), etc. But because this is an exponential scale, it&#8217;s <em>extremely</em> forgiving of these kinds of problems. Labels might be a rung or three off, but they won&#8217;t be 30 rungs off. We&#8217;re also using a 3.6% safe withdrawal rate to convert from net worth to a perpetual income without working. <a href="https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/long-term-budgets">Folks who are older can use a much higher withdrawal rate if they are willing to spend down their capital and don&#8217;t want to endow their heirs</a>, so the net worth numbers should be thought of as how much money a person would need to live at that rung for the rest of their life if they retired in good health before around age 50.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-9" href="#footnote-anchor-9" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">9</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>And we&#8217;re not even counting the ~100B humans who ever lived, the vast majority of whom lived hand to mouth and therefore were probably living below a &#8220;5&#8221; on our scale.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-10" href="#footnote-anchor-10" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">10</a><div class="footnote-content"><p><a href="https://dqydj.com/top-one-percent-united-states/">https://dqydj.com/top-one-percent-united-states/</a></p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-11" href="#footnote-anchor-11" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">11</a><div class="footnote-content"><p><a href="https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2022/10/the-wealthiest-0-1-of-households/">https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2022/10/the-wealthiest-0-1-of-households/</a></p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-12" href="#footnote-anchor-12" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">12</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Thus proving conclusively that divorce is the most expensive thing you could possibly do, no matter who you are. But given how important sustained committed relationships are to being a hairless primate, marriage is usually worth it!</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Detailed Budget Overview]]></title><description><![CDATA[#getrich #stayrich For anyone who&#8217;s looking for this kind of budget, I always demand they have at least three categories: fun/easy to cut, delayed, and mandatory...]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/detailed-budget-overview</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/detailed-budget-overview</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 12 Feb 2024 18:02:21 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Congratulations! You&#8217;ve made it to part three of a series of blog posts on budgeting! That means that you are a member of an elite group of personal finance nerds who understand that budgets are a big part of how to extract the most out of the big, juicy, sweet melon of each month&#8217;s money. Far from being a dry subject, budget are your chance to live your values, and pick out what&#8217;s most important in life!</p><p>So what&#8217;s the ideal monthly budget? First of all, budgeting is a lifestyle, not a monthly task. Budgeting is a loop:</p><ol><li><p>Look at your spending, in detail, from multiple directions.</p></li><li><p>Decide how your spending reflects your values. Do you want more time with family? Do you want to increase your giving? Do you want to expand your horizons through travel or toys? Who do you want to share your life with? For each expense, was it a better or worse expression of your values than the rest of your expenses?</p></li><li><p>Remember the lessons of expenses past, and make sure that your future expenses better reflect your values. Budgeting isn&#8217;t an all at once thing. It&#8217;s a gradual improvement over time.</p></li></ol><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Ok, so that&#8217;s a nice set of platitudes. But I promised hard core budget nerdery, and I&#8217;m going to deliver! First, we&#8217;re going to need categories or tags. Tag every expense, or sort it into a category.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> There are a bazillion tools for this, from doing it manually in a spreadsheet, to specialized software like YNAB (You Need a Budget) and competitors.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a></p><p>I&#8217;m reasonably agnostic on which categories you use. You should pick categories that make sense to you and your life. Don&#8217;t feel overly constrained here. The purpose of the budget is to maximize value against the genuine constraints that life imposes on you, not sort your life into little buckets. On the other hand, little buckets make for clean thinking and clean data, so pick a middle ground that works for you.</p><p>However, for anyone I coach who&#8217;s looking for this kind of budget, I always <em>demand</em> they have at least three categories of buckets: fun/easy to cut, delayed, and mandatory. Here at Solving Wealth, we divide subdivide fun into Mr. and Mrs. Solving Wealths&#8217; individual budgets, which each of us has complete and 100% dominion over, and joint fun, which is mostly spent on travel. We also have a giving budget, split between charitable and personal giving, and we divide up delayed spending into automotive, medical, house repairs and upgrades, and durable household goods. Our mandatory spending is split into groceries and non-durable goods, personal services (house cleaning, house maintenance, lawn care, prepared food, etc.),<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-3" href="#footnote-3" target="_self">3</a> utilities (insurance, fuel, electricity, internet, mobile service, etc.), education, and loans (we have one of those unicorn 2.5% mortgages, which we are <em>not </em>paying off early!).</p><p>If a budget category is underspent in a month, we add that on to next month&#8217;s budget. If a category overspends, then sometimes a budget starts out negative! Look, I&#8217;m not a monster. <em>Very occasionally</em>, a budget category can go negative. But that requires trusting your future self to hold back on spending until it gets back to zero. Can you trust your future self? Remember, trust is built with a track record over time, even when it&#8217;s you on both sides of the relationship! Without that track record, you&#8217;re going to have to be strict!</p><p>Fun is the most important category. Without an outlet, resentment against your own budget will build up until it bursts into your life in an ill considered splurge on something you will regret later, and that trust will be lost. For folks who are already FI (financially independent), I recommend it be set to at least 15% of your total spend, and potentially as much as 25%+! If you are early on your financial journey, then it might be more like 5%, or the minimum necessary to prevent you from going crazy over the long run. The richer you are, the more you should spend on fun and giving, not just in dollar terms but in % terms as well!</p><p>Fun money is <em>not</em> allowed to be spent on anything useful! If you have a partner, then it&#8217;s strictly forbidden to even hint at criticism about how that fun money is spent! And absolutely, positively, no hoarding! It&#8217;s fine to save up for a really big useless thing, but no saving fun money just to have it! Fun money is for the useless things you want, but don&#8217;t need. No exceptions.</p><p>We aim to spend:<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-4" href="#footnote-4" target="_self">4</a></p><ul><li><p>~17% &#8211; giving</p></li><li><p>~17% &#8211; fun</p></li><li><p>33% &#8211; delayed</p></li><li><p>33% &#8211; mandatory spending</p></li></ul><p>Someday, I&#8217;d like to be rich enough to get to this much more responsible and grown up budget:<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-5" href="#footnote-5" target="_self">5</a></p><ul><li><p>25% &#8211; giving</p></li><li><p>25% &#8211; fun</p></li><li><p>25% &#8211; delayed</p></li><li><p>25% &#8211; mandatory spending</p></li></ul><p>Ok. That&#8217;s how the Solving Wealth household budgets month to month. Later in this series, <a href="https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/long-term-budgets">I&#8217;ll go over year to year budgets</a>, and we&#8217;ll also start diving into some topics like maximizing the after tax value of spending. But I also look forward to sharing my thoughts on investing and portfolio allocation, getting good value on toys, houses, vehicles, and vacations, and even more generalized advice! Stay tuned!</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>I used to do this monthly on a spreadsheet, but now I have an app that I can import my expenses into and I mostly categorize them whenever I&#8217;m bored and on my phone, as they come in.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>I have no association with YNAB, other than being a happy customer paying the full, normal rate. And just as a thing, the only selling you will encounter on this blog are my arguments, plus any goods and services I start as a side hustle, which will all be clearly labeled. Apparently, influencers make the most money doing their own thing anyway, and I don&#8217;t like how advertising, paid placement, and referral programs muddy up the incentives around giving excellent guidance.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-3" href="#footnote-anchor-3" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">3</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>It might seem odd to put having someone performing a service for you into mandatory spending. And this is where it gets personal, literally. If you are ordering takeout, that&#8217;s from a business. They aren&#8217;t going to notice if you skip a week. But if someone comes to depend on you as a source of income, I believe you have an obligation to do what you can to ensure that source of income is there for them. So when we eat out in the Solving Wealth household, it&#8217;s fun money. But when the local person that we have on retainer is expecting a certain amount of hours each month fixing our house, then we find work for them whether we &#8220;need&#8221; it or not. Some months, it&#8217;s repainting the spare bedroom, because that would be nice. But sometimes, it&#8217;s fixing that overflowing toilet, and we urgently need it! They depend on us, and we depend on them! There&#8217;s a world where we see terrible investment returns and our income collapses and we have to cut these services out, but that comes long after we&#8217;ve sacrificed everything else we could. Because that&#8217;s the right thing to do, and our world needs more of that from rich people.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-4" href="#footnote-anchor-4" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">4</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Admit it. You&#8217;re reading this footnote just to see if I was going to make some comment about rounding and summing to something other than 100%. Well, joke&#8217;s on you! They do sum to 100%! But, actually, we really aim for 33.3 repeating % on delayed, 33.3 repeating % on mandatory, and the remainder split evenly between giving and fun. We never actually achieve that, and I&#8217;ve achieved inner peace on that. I swear. The buckets don&#8217;t need to be tidy. The buckets don&#8217;t need to be tidy. Really.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-5" href="#footnote-anchor-5" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">5</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Welcome to the weird, backwards world of personal finance, where it&#8217;s more responsible to spend more money on useless things, because those are easy to cut in bad times, and the conservative assumption is planning to live into your 120s, because what if you do live that long and run out of money?! It&#8217;s wacky! It&#8217;s upside down! It&#8217;s unintuitive!</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Absolute Minimum Budgeting]]></title><description><![CDATA[#getrich #stayrich Budgeting doesn&#8217;t need to be a ton of work, and it doesn&#8217;t need to be a life lived without joy or spontaneity...]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/absolute-minimum-budgeting</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/absolute-minimum-budgeting</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 09 Feb 2024 16:02:09 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If I tell you to budget, you probably hear, &#8220;Eat your vegetables.&#8221; Look, we both know that doesn&#8217;t sound very sexy. (Apologies to the vegetarians in the audience!) But budgeting doesn&#8217;t need to be a ton of work, and it doesn&#8217;t need to be a life lived without joy or spontaneity.</p><p>The easiest budget is one that you just naturally follow, without ever categorizing an expense or balancing a checkbook.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> Some people just have a sense of what kind of lifestyle they want, and happen to make a lot more income than that, either through work or investing. Great! Problem solved! But what if that&#8217;s not you?</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>The next easiest budget is sometimes called &#8220;a reverse budget.&#8221; Basically, you set up a couple sets of automatic transactions to pull out part of your portfolio or paycheck every so often, and then spend every cent you have of what remains.</p><p>If you are already FI (financially independent), then the first transaction you&#8217;ll have is a transaction that pulls money out of your portfolio each month. If you&#8217;re working, it instead dumps money into your retirement accounts, and ensures a high savings rate.<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> Remember, even if you manage to invest your way to wealth, you won&#8217;t <em>keep</em> that wealth unless you keep your spending under control.</p><p>The second transaction helps you save up for big expenses. Set aside money each month for your next car, a wedding, a down payment for a house to live in, your kids&#8217; or grandkids&#8217; college, etc. For those of you who have a monthly spend over about $150K, then you might not need this, because you can just pay out of your monthly normal spend. On the other hand, you are probably saving up for tax payments, expensive art, a new plane or yacht, or a giant donation, so this is still a good idea. Nobody, even billionaires, should YOLO any spend above about half a month&#8217;s expenses!</p><p>So say you make $30K/month (after tax), and haven&#8217;t hit FI yet. Try to put $15K towards retirement, and put another ~$5K towards future big ticket items. Then, just spend everything that&#8217;s left! Congratulations! You just started a countdown towards financial freedom! You&#8217;re on autopilot towards money becoming less and less of a barrier in your life to anything you want to do!</p><p>Or, say that you are already FI, and have $15M, which translates into an initial safe withdrawal rate of $45K a month. You&#8217;ll need to set aside money for taxes, so work with your CPA to ensure that money is flowing into that &#8220;big expenses&#8221; account from that $45K. Decide how often you want to replace your car, fund a special charity initiative, buy a new toy, or take an ultra luxury trip. Set that cash aside, and go nuts with the rest!</p><p>But what if this doesn&#8217;t sound organized enough for you? Or what if you&#8217;ve tried this and you just can&#8217;t make it work? <a href="https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/detailed-budget-overview">Stay tuned for our next post</a>, where we&#8217;ll talk about more complicated budgets. (Hey, I&#8217;m a big nerd, so I actually <em>like</em> <s>eating my vegetables</s> doing budget spreadsheets!)</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>I can&#8217;t help myself. I still think you should look over your expenses every few months just to make sure that someone isn&#8217;t ripping you off with some giant recurring credit card bill. But in theory, you don&#8217;t <em>have</em> to do that.</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>How high? Readers of this blog should aim for at <em>least</em> 50% if they are still working. We&#8217;ll get into why you should aim that high in later posts. But you can afford that, right? You make plenty of money, or are on your way there, right? No? Well, then you&#8217;ll need an even higher savings rate!</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Budgeting is the Key]]></title><description><![CDATA[#getrich #stayrich Are you rich? Do you want to stay that way? The median household can achieve $10M in time to enjoy it by saving aggressively...]]></description><link>https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/budgeting-is-the-key</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/budgeting-is-the-key</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[JM]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 05 Feb 2024 17:05:46 GMT</pubDate><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The median household can achieve $10M in time to enjoy it<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-1" href="#footnote-1" target="_self">1</a> (adjusted for inflation, so it will be much higher by then!) by saving aggressively and investing in a not-actively-stupid manner. A family with $10M can keep that money, and even, in most cases, slowly grow it, by not spending too much. And yet, despite the fact that at least <strong>half</strong> of all Americans can achieve this goal, most Americans won&#8217;t even make it to even $1M, even by age 75! Worse, of the people who have $10M+, many people lose it!</p><p>What&#8217;s wrong with everybody? Are they stupid? Are they lazy? Do they not care about their futures? No. <em>They don&#8217;t budget towards a goal of being or staying rich, not even in the most minimal sense.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.solvingwealth.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading Solving Wealth! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Are you rich? Do you want to stay that way? In 2022, the median household income in the USA was $74,580. As a personal goal, taking in <em>almost five times that</em> is a perfectly reasonable goal for an ambitious and hardworking person in the developed world. And not just now, but forever. Without working.</p><p>$30000 worth of monthly spending requires about $10M in investible assets. You, your family, and your heirs will have all that cash every single year from now until forever. What&#8217;s the catch? What&#8217;s the cost? It&#8217;s remarkably small. It&#8217;s just a tiny little thing really. And yet so many people refuse to do it. <em>All you have to do is budget towards that goal. Consistently.</em></p><p>Most people think that budgets are complicated, but they don&#8217;t have to be. Can you look at your phone and see how much money you have left in your account this month? Can you look at a different account and choose, every single time, not to pull money out until you hit financial independence, and then, only the amount that a simple formula tells you? Can you set up an automatic monthly transaction, and an automatic annual transaction, and occasionally reset them? That&#8217;s all<a class="footnote-anchor" data-component-name="FootnoteAnchorToDOM" id="footnote-anchor-2" href="#footnote-2" target="_self">2</a> that&#8217;s required.</p><p>Of course, budgeting is an art, and like all art, skill will make you better. A great budgeter will probably live twice as nice a lifestyle on the same budget as a terrible one who still gets rich. But can you hit that minimum standard of terrible? Of course you can!</p><p>Are you ready to get started? <a href="https://www.solvingwealth.com/p/absolute-minimum-budgeting">Next post, we&#8217;ll talk specifics</a>.</p><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-1" href="#footnote-anchor-1" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">1</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>I can hear the objections now. &#8220;I can&#8217;t afford my house, much less save up enough to earn $10M!&#8221; or &#8220;My kids&#8217; school is so expensive that I could never do this!&#8221; or even &#8220;That&#8217;s impossible! One bad medical expense and you&#8217;re set back decades!&#8221; Look, if you think that achieving $10M on about $75K/year of income is going to come from living a conventional life, well then, uh, no. It will require a strongly non-conventional life to achieve this kind of goal without a much higher income. But that&#8217;s kind of my point here.</p><p>So what&#8217;s actually required? Save $28K annually ($2,333 monthly, leaving a bit over $3000 monthly to live on) into low cost, broad, stock market index funds annually for 49 years. For someone graduating college, that means a retirement age of 70. For someone working right out of high school, that means 66. Given how much longer and healthier everyone is living, this is possible!</p></div></div><div class="footnote" data-component-name="FootnoteToDOM"><a id="footnote-2" href="#footnote-anchor-2" class="footnote-number" contenteditable="false" target="_self">2</a><div class="footnote-content"><p>Ok, ok. I&#8217;m overworking that language there. For purposes of this post, &#8220;all&#8221; includes being willing to spend way less money than you could in any particular moment, basically for the rest of your life.</p><p>This is probably a &#8220;duh&#8221; sort of moment if you think about it. Getting and staying rich means having money, which means that you can&#8217;t spend it all, because then you won&#8217;t have the money any more. Duh.</p></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>